NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	126		Excitement	13.8 [5]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +46.0%
Houston Rockets	127		Comeback	11.1 [141]		LVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): -38.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	25	60%	0.27	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.14	0.00	18	55%	0.24	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Simone Fontecchio	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.17	6	50%	-0.11
Collin Sexton	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.22,0.28,0.17,0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.39	0.03	-0.41	0.01	27	48%	-0.26	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.46	0.46	0.17	0.30	0.01	26	60%	0.47	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.10
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	19	57%	0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.10
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	19	47%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.17	-0.01	13	59%	0.09	2	-0.19	3	33%	-0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	6	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	28.8	14.7	31.3	2.4	33.5	2.5	22.2	161.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +4.8%

HOU +10.0%

UTA -18.3%

HOU +33.0%

HOU +20.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	14.5	113.5	116.5	113.9
season	14.7	14.2		113.7	113.2
opponent	14.6	13.9		112.2	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.5	13.1	12.7	17.3	14.9	14.5
HOU	14.5	15.2	13.5	15.6	12.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	57	56	0.69	-1.19	1.89	0.19	17	-18	35	14.5	14.5	0.03	14.3	14.5	-0.11
John Collins	43	43	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-8	15	13.2	15.3	-2.13	14.9	14.0	0.88
Walker Kessler	67	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	7	-15	15.4	13.1	2.36	13.9	15.1	-1.13
Collin Sexton	85	82	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.52	12	-13	25	14.4	14.9	-0.53	14.4	14.4	-0.07
Keyonte George	20	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	12	-25	15.2	14.4	0.90	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Lauri Markkanen	82	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.60	8	-9	17	14.4	14.9	-0.57	14.1	15.1	-0.92
Ochai Agbaji	25	26	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	14	-29	15.6	14.2	1.35	15.2	14.1	1.05
Jordan Clarkson	78	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	6	-13	14.9	13.7	1.16	14.6	13.9	0.64
Kelly Olynyk	33	33	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	7	-15	14.5	14.5	-0.04	14.9	14.2	0.69
Simone Fontecchio	65	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.81	2	-3	5	13.7	15.6	-1.91	14.2	14.7	-0.54

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	41	39	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.77	8	-7	15	13.8	14.7	-0.91	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Jae'Sean Tate	29	30	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-7	15	14.3	14.4	-0.16	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Aaron Holiday	20	19	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	14.7	14.3	0.37	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Jeff Green	34	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	-4	9	14.5	14.4	0.11	14.2	14.6	-0.46
Dillon Brooks	71	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.45	-7	8	-15	14.6	13.9	0.73	14.8	14.0	0.83
Cam Whitmore	54	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-7	15	13.9	14.9	-1.04	15.9	13.2	2.70
Jabari Smith Jr.	86	89	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	-2	5	14.1	15.7	-1.59	14.6	14.2	0.36
Alperen Sengun	84	88	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	10	-19	14.6	13.6	0.98	14.5	14.4	0.15
Fred VanVleet	68	72	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	4	-7	15.0	13.4	1.65	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Jalen Green	58	61	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.23	-7	8	-15	14.3	14.5	-0.14	14.3	14.8	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.47,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.23,0.5,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.67,0.85,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	87.0%
PHX 103, ATL 105	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.22,0.73,1	86.4%
BKN 145, ATL 147	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.47,0.57,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.72,0.86,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.84,0.45,0.58,1	86.4%