inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 131 Excitement9.9 [81] MVPJeremy Sochan (SAS): +67.5%
Washington Wizards 127 Comeback54.9 [24] LVPKyle Kuzma (WAS): -22.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Sochan0.680,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.680.190.490.001182%0.6800.006100%0.12
Tre Jones0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.160.020.150.01952%0.191-0.033100%0.06
Victor Wembanyama0.110,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11-0.040.14-0.002152%0.276-0.16450%-0.02
Keldon Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.001551%0.091-0.02771%-0.01
Blake Wesley0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.00475%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Julian Champagnie0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01779%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Doug McDermott0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Devin Vassell0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,00.06-0.030.031468%0.114-0.10333%-0.00
Malaki Branham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Cedi Osman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zach Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00944%-0.001-0.0200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.090.09-0.001170%0.221-0.031100%0.01
Bilal Coulibaly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.080.00970%0.181-0.0320%-0.06
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.110.110.000.140.031950%0.172-0.064100%0.10
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.080.080.050.02-0.011059%0.122-0.047100%0.04
Patrick Baldwin Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00387%0.101-0.03250%-0.01
Landry Shamet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00570%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jordan Poole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.001550%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13-0.130.01-0.130.011250%-0.111-0.032100%0.01
Kyle Kuzma0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23-0.23-0.06-0.19-0.031438%-0.202-0.031100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.428.214.428.52.235.7136.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +87.1%
SAS +3.0%
WAS -26.8%
WAS -14.0%
SAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game13.313.414.5121.3117.6113.9
season13.913.7108.6109.8
opponent14.114.3118.7115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS12.513.713.014.013.3
WAS11.916.311.414.813.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Vassell75771.17-0.671.840.5023-194212.415.3-2.9214.111.62.54
Jeremy Sochan59611.15-0.651.810.3627-235012.614.1-1.5115.111.23.93
Tre Jones70730.72-0.220.950.556-2813.013.8-0.8714.111.92.22
Keldon Johnson68660.65-0.150.810.515-1613.313.20.1212.414.9-2.52
Victor Wembanyama60630.500.000.490.3840413.313.30.0114.411.92.53
Zach Collins48450.000.50-0.490.0004-413.313.3-0.0111.914.4-2.53
Malaki Branham1211-0.020.52-0.53-0.0204-412.813.3-0.5010.113.8-3.67
Blake Wesley3633-0.180.68-0.87-0.1804-414.012.91.0412.113.9-1.83
Julian Champagnie4849-0.350.85-1.20-0.05-1014-2413.413.10.2914.012.91.04
Doug McDermott2121-0.571.07-1.65-0.08-1721-3816.012.63.4412.313.6-1.31
Cedi Osman4341-0.591.09-1.67-0.06-1822-4014.212.71.5511.514.5-2.99

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Delon Wright44430.72-1.221.930.2516-203612.713.9-1.1915.112.03.09
Patrick Baldwin Jr.27290.63-1.131.760.1915-193410.414.4-3.9815.312.52.83
Corey Kispert51510.32-0.821.130.117-111813.813.10.7114.512.22.26
Bilal Coulibaly5153-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-71012.314.4-2.0714.012.61.46
Deni Avdija7473-0.00-0.500.49-0.248-122013.213.8-0.6313.512.80.75
Landry Shamet1212-0.05-0.450.41-0.195-91416.013.12.9415.413.02.41
Jordan Poole6969-0.740.24-0.99-0.30-1511-2613.113.9-0.8812.015.5-3.50
Tyus Jones6464-1.000.50-1.49-0.47-1814-3213.912.71.1912.115.0-2.87
Marvin Bagley III8179-1.130.63-1.76-0.57-1915-3414.410.43.9812.515.3-2.83
Kyle Kuzma6767-1.240.74-1.98-0.59-2218-4014.012.41.6512.414.8-2.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.8,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.57,0.72,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 89, MIA 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.74,090.0%
CLE 111, NJN 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.74,089.8%
ORL 105, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,088.2%