NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	120		Excitement	7.8 [316]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +44.0%
Charlotte Hornets	124		Comeback	1.1 [884]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -19.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	15	74%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.21	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	11	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Blake Wesley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Malaki Branham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.06	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	10	62%	0.18	4	-0.24	6	50%	-0.04
Jeremy Sochan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	52%	0.03	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.44	0.44	0.17	0.27	0.00	13	90%	0.54	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.12	-0.01	11	80%	0.33	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	14	73%	0.28	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	15	74%	0.26	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Mensah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	18	45%	-0.02	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.2	0.2	25.2	1.8	37.2	115.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.1%

SAS -0.8%

CHA +13.4%

SAS -10.4%

CHA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHA	NBA	SAS	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	14.5	121.2	127.8	113.9
season	13.9	14.8		108.6	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.3		118.7	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.7	15.9	13.4	12.9	13.7
CHA	14.5	14.1	16.6	17.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	28	27	0.42	-0.92	1.33	-0.02	15	-19	34	11.6	14.5	-2.91	15.9	15.7	0.19
Doug McDermott	19	19	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-11	18	13.0	13.9	-0.86	17.8	15.2	2.58
Malaki Branham	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	13.7	13.7	0.04	16.9	15.5	1.42
Zach Collins	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-7	10	13.8	13.6	0.25	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Blake Wesley	30	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	1	-6	13.7	13.7	0.05	15.0	16.0	-1.03
Tre Jones	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-2	0	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.0	15.2	0.83
Dominick Barlow	39	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	0	-4	13.7	13.7	0.03	16.3	15.3	0.99
Julian Champagnie	41	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	14	-32	14.0	13.5	0.56	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Keldon Johnson	61	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	13.9	13.4	0.53	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Devin Vassell	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.36	-5	1	-6	13.9	13.1	0.84	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Jeremy Sochan	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	4	-12	14.0	13.0	0.94	15.6	15.9	-0.25

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	57	56	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-10	24	15.7	15.7	0.02	14.8	12.2	2.63
Cody Martin	50	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-2	8	15.5	16.0	-0.52	13.6	13.9	-0.29
LaMelo Ball	63	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-9	22	15.6	15.9	-0.26	13.8	13.5	0.32
Brandon Miller	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	-1	6	15.8	15.4	0.42	13.9	13.1	0.84
Terry Rozier	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	6	-8	15.8	15.4	0.37	13.7	13.6	0.16
JT Thor	17	17	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	-4	12	17.5	15.3	2.20	16.6	13.1	3.49
Miles Bridges	80	82	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	8	-12	15.3	17.5	-2.20	13.1	16.6	-3.49
Nick Smith Jr.	36	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	14	-24	15.8	15.7	0.15	13.2	14.0	-0.83
Nathan Mensah	40	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	14	-24	15.7	15.7	-0.02	12.2	14.8	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.59,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.48,0.63,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.58,1	91.3%
SEA 92, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.72,1	91.2%
DAL 91, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.75,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.92,1	91.0%