NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	8.0 [243]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CLE): +18.4%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.1 [993]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -38.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	14	54%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	66%	0.05	2	-0.03	12	75%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	11	54%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Dajuan Wagner	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	9	32%	-0.09	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.27	-0.13	-0.01	16	36%	-0.13	9	-0.25	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.01	14	57%	0.22	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.05
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.05
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	19	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	6	56%	0.07	4	-0.22	4	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	30.1	15.7	24.1	1.8	39.2	139.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.8%

ATL +27.3%

CLE -14.1%

ATL +2.6%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.5	93.8	99.0	101.6
season	15.1	15.1		94.6	99.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		103.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	14.1	16.8	15.8	15.1
ATL	11.6	14.7	17.5	15.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	13	13	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-9	13	14.2	15.2	-1.00	16.2	14.4	1.80
Milt Palacio	19	19	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-5	5	15.1	15.1	-0.05	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Chris Mihm	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-3	1	16.6	14.5	2.08	15.4	14.3	1.12
DeSagana Diop	15	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	3	-11	16.2	14.9	1.31	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Darius Miles	61	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-7	9	14.7	15.8	-1.13	14.8	14.3	0.49
Dajuan Wagner	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.2	-0.16	15.2	14.2	1.07
Smush Parker	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-4	3	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.2	15.2	-1.07
Carlos Boozer	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.5	-0.63	14.7	14.4	0.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	67	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	15.0	15.4	-0.44	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Ricky Davis	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.1	-0.01	14.8	13.8	1.01
Jumaine Jones	49	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.2	15.0	0.14	13.8	15.4	-1.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-5	15	14.5	15.0	-0.49	15.1	15.0	0.18
Theo Ratliff	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	14.1	15.4	-1.30	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Jason Terry	67	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	14.9	13.8	1.11	14.6	16.1	-1.43
Dion Glover	67	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	6	-7	14.2	15.4	-1.16	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Corey Benjamin	28	26	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-2	9	13.8	14.9	-1.09	15.9	14.8	1.08
Glenn Robinson	80	82	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	8	-11	14.6	14.5	0.15	14.6	17.9	-3.36
Alan Henderson	35	36	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	2	1	15.3	14.2	1.12	16.5	14.3	2.24
Dan Dickau	33	34	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	2	1	15.2	14.3	0.88	16.4	14.4	2.03
Nazr Mohammed	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	4	-3	15.0	14.3	0.61	16.0	14.4	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1	92.1%
NJN 85, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	92.0%
MIA 77, ORL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.72,1	92.0%