NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	134		Excitement	6.9 [460]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +34.0%
Utah Jazz	129		Comeback	1.0 [912]		LVP	Keyonte George (UTA): -10.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34	0.21	0.13	-0.00	14	90%	0.39	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.01	15	66%	0.28	4	-0.12	17	88%	0.05
Cason Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.16	-0.01	0.03	7	114%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	16	57%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Vasilije Micic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Joe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chet Holmgren	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	16	44%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	13	70%	0.21	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	19	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	11	75%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	1	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	18	49%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	29.6	15.3	28.4	1.8	43.4	144.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +59.2%

UTA -2.0%

UTA -7.2%

OKC +0.8%

UTA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	12.7	14.3	14.5	125.2	120.6	113.9
season	13.9	14.7		117.1	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.7		119.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.0	12.4	13.8	12.6	12.7
UTA	14.2	14.2	16.8	12.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Williams	83	83	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-11	27	12.4	13.5	-1.04	14.4	13.7	0.71
Aaron Wiggins	48	50	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	12.8	12.5	0.29	15.0	13.6	1.42
Chet Holmgren	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	4	-3	12.8	12.4	0.34	13.3	16.3	-3.00
Josh Giddey	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-5	15	12.0	13.7	-1.71	14.9	13.2	1.62
Vasilije Micic	19	21	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-2	9	11.2	13.0	-1.76	16.0	13.8	2.22
Cason Wallace	75	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	6	-7	13.0	11.8	1.25	13.6	15.7	-2.07
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	76	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	6	-7	13.0	11.9	1.09	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Kenrich Williams	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	9	-13	12.0	13.0	-1.01	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Jaylin Williams	23	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	2	1	14.3	12.2	2.16	14.7	14.2	0.50
Lindy Waters III	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	12.0	12.7	-0.69	17.3	14.1	3.25
Isaiah Joe	26	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	14	-23	13.1	12.5	0.61	14.0	14.3	-0.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Kessler	51	51	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.39	15	-20	35	13.1	15.3	-2.26	14.9	10.6	4.26
Kris Dunn	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.08	-2	-3	1	15.4	13.8	1.58	12.5	12.7	-0.16
Simone Fontecchio	64	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-7	9	13.6	15.2	-1.55	13.1	12.0	1.12
Collin Sexton	75	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-9	13	13.7	15.5	-1.81	13.0	11.8	1.15
Lauri Markkanen	79	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-5	5	13.7	15.9	-2.16	12.9	12.0	0.81
Keyonte George	32	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	4	-13	15.5	13.7	1.81	11.8	13.0	-1.15
Ochai Agbaji	32	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	3	-11	16.3	13.4	2.88	12.0	12.9	-0.91
Kelly Olynyk	40	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	0	-5	14.4	14.2	0.22	11.7	13.2	-1.43
Jordan Clarkson	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	13.8	15.4	-1.58	12.7	12.5	0.16
John Collins	55	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	14	-33	15.6	12.8	2.79	10.8	14.6	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%
MEM 93, NOH 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0	93.2%
BOS 118, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%