NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	8.0 [280]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +67.1%
LA Clippers	128		Comeback	1.2 [863]		LVP	Chet Holmgren (OKC): -12.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Joe	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.07	0.00	7	107%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.02	14	81%	0.36	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	10	86%	0.21	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	78%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Cason Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier Sarr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	16	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Chet Holmgren	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67	0.67	0.30	0.40	0.03	24	73%	0.67	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	5	82%	0.13	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.06
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	27.3	16.4	30.6	3.5	32.3	140.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.4%

OKC -3.4%

LAC +12.0%

LAC +8.5%

LAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	14.5	124.5	136.2	113.9
season	13.9	14.9		117.1	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		114.2	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.0	14.0	16.2	12.8	14.7
LAC	15.3	16.5	15.1	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vasilije Micic	24	23	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-19	27	14.2	14.9	-0.64	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Aaron Wiggins	34	33	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-15	19	13.6	15.3	-1.73	15.9	15.9	-0.06
Kenrich Williams	30	29	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-12	13	16.0	14.1	1.83	16.1	15.8	0.32
Olivier Sarr	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	10.0	14.8	-4.83	23.0	15.8	7.16
Ousmane Dieng	8	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-11	11	15.4	14.7	0.71	17.9	15.8	2.10
Cason Wallace	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-10	9	15.9	14.2	1.65	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Josh Giddey	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	15.2	14.4	0.72	16.6	15.5	1.17
Jalen Williams	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-6	1	14.3	15.7	-1.43	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Isaiah Joe	45	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	1	-13	14.6	14.8	-0.19	16.0	15.9	0.08
Luguentz Dort	64	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	4	-19	14.7	14.8	-0.06	16.1	15.4	0.69
Chet Holmgren	67	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	3	-17	14.2	16.0	-1.79	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	64	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.16	-19	8	-27	15.3	13.6	1.70	15.8	16.1	-0.32

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	71	70	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.19	19	-8	27	16.0	15.5	0.52	14.9	14.2	0.64
Mason Plumlee	55	54	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	15.8	16.1	-0.23	15.1	14.2	0.91
Paul George	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	16.1	15.4	0.71	14.9	14.2	0.67
James Harden	80	79	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	3	5	16.1	14.8	1.33	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Terance Mann	47	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	6	-1	16.4	15.4	1.02	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Russell Westbrook	43	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	5	1	15.8	16.0	-0.27	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Amir Coffey	31	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	13	-15	14.9	16.4	-1.51	14.7	14.7	0.01
Daniel Theis	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	16.1	15.8	0.23	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Norman Powell	37	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	16	-21	15.2	16.4	-1.11	14.6	14.8	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.78,0.96,0.98,1	93.4%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	92.6%
LAL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	92.6%