NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	120		Excitement	7.0 [429]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +44.5%
LA Clippers	126		Comeback	2.5 [831]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAC): -5.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.00	13	71%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Immanuel Quickley	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	16	61%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	16	75%	0.17	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44	0.44	0.18	0.25	-0.02	22	66%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.07	0.01	18	67%	0.25	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Terance Mann	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	5	130%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	11	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	25.6	14.7	26.2	2.5	31.6	127.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.2%

TOR -12.1%

TOR -2.7%

LAC +22.2%

LAC +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	16.6	14.5	125.0	131.2	113.9
season	14.0	14.9		111.3	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.7		114.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	13.3	12.7	12.4	13.4
LAC	16.5	15.0	15.6	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	17	17	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-10	14	15.1	13.1	2.07	14.9	16.9	-2.07
Jalen McDaniels	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-6	6	14.5	13.0	1.54	14.8	17.3	-2.49
Jontay Porter	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-8	10	13.9	13.1	0.79	15.1	17.6	-2.49
Thaddeus Young	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-4	2	13.1	13.7	-0.58	17.8	15.5	2.25
RJ Barrett	72	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-6	6	13.3	13.8	-0.56	17.1	15.1	1.94
Immanuel Quickley	73	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	13.3	13.8	-0.54	17.6	14.0	3.60
Chris Boucher	23	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	4	-14	14.0	13.2	0.82	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Gary Trent Jr.	52	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	3	-12	13.4	13.4	-0.03	14.6	18.8	-4.13
Dennis Schroder	65	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-5	4	13.1	14.1	-0.96	17.0	15.6	1.33
Scottie Barnes	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	3	-12	12.9	14.8	-1.89	17.3	14.6	2.75

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-9	24	17.0	15.0	2.00	13.7	12.3	1.41
James Harden	66	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-2	10	17.3	15.1	2.21	13.6	13.0	0.65
Norman Powell	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	17.0	16.1	0.83	13.1	13.8	-0.74
Daniel Theis	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.25	2	4	-2	13.9	18.1	-4.18	13.6	13.3	0.22
Amir Coffey	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	3	0	14.2	18.3	-4.04	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Terance Mann	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	0	6	16.2	16.9	-0.69	13.3	13.5	-0.23
Ivica Zubac	60	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	18.1	14.0	4.09	13.6	13.1	0.55
Kawhi Leonard	73	73	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	11	-16	17.4	14.0	3.40	13.2	14.1	-0.94
Russell Westbrook	30	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	15.1	17.3	-2.21	13.0	13.6	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.7,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.3%
HOU 79, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,1	94.1%
SEA 98, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%