NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	5.8 [619]		MVP	Dorell Wright (PHI): +18.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	2.2 [282]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Orlando Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
D.J. Augustin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	26	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	15	43%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	17	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	6	93%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Arnett Moultrie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	25	53%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	27.0	15.5	28.5	2.4	36.3	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.4%

IND -5.9%

PHI +0.9%

PHI +3.1%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	17.3	14.4	15.4	101.1	106.5	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		102.4	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.2	18.5	16.8	15.5	17.3
PHI	12.6	14.2	14.5	16.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	69	70	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-14	21	16.2	20.6	-4.37	14.7	13.5	1.20
D.J. Augustin	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	19.4	16.8	2.64	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Tyler Hansbrough	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-5	3	18.7	16.1	2.67	13.3	15.2	-1.92
Lance Stephenson	55	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-11	15	15.6	19.9	-4.33	15.2	13.1	2.19
Sam Young	9	8	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	6	-19	21.3	16.8	4.52	11.5	14.7	-3.19
Paul George	78	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-10	13	16.9	19.6	-2.67	14.5	13.5	0.99
Orlando Johnson	38	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	2	-11	19.5	15.7	3.82	13.5	15.0	-1.51
David West	50	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	16.1	18.7	-2.67	15.2	13.3	1.92
George Hill	74	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	16.8	19.4	-2.64	14.4	14.3	0.12
Ian Mahinmi	21	22	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	6	-19	20.6	16.2	4.37	13.5	14.7	-1.20

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	84	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	0	7	14.0	18.7	-4.75	17.2	17.4	-0.15
Dorell Wright	54	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	13.6	15.6	-1.99	17.8	16.5	1.28
Evan Turner	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	0	7	14.9	13.2	1.76	16.6	18.9	-2.29
Spencer Hawes	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-6	19	14.9	13.2	1.74	16.7	18.8	-2.08
Thaddeus Young	68	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-1	9	15.2	12.1	3.15	17.0	18.2	-1.27
Lavoy Allen	31	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	11	-15	13.4	15.0	-1.60	19.2	16.4	2.74
Damien Wilkins	65	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	14.6	13.9	0.74	16.9	18.1	-1.14
Arnett Moultrie	20	18	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	11	-15	11.6	15.2	-3.59	17.6	17.2	0.36
Charles Jenkins	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	16.7	14.2	2.50	18.7	17.1	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 88, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.86,0.84,1	93.8%
WAS 101, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
MIA 96, TOR 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.5%