NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	5.9 [622]		MVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): +13.2%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	1.7 [957]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -21.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	21	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Bilal Coulibaly	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	5	36%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Daniel Gafford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.04	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	15	33%	-0.04	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	15	55%	0.10	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	86%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	29.3	15.4	28.4	2.3	35.6	137.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.6%

IND +3.4%

IND +11.3%

IND +9.8%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	14.0	14.5	103.0	109.8	113.9
season	13.7	13.8		109.8	120.0
opponent	14.7	14.1		117.4	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	13.3	15.1	14.3	14.3
IND	11.5	13.9	14.9	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-3	-2	13.2	14.7	-1.47	13.3	14.3	-0.96
Delon Wright	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-5	2	13.8	14.6	-0.71	12.9	14.6	-1.73
Bilal Coulibaly	47	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	14.4	14.3	0.11	13.8	14.3	-0.57
Deni Avdija	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-10	12	14.6	14.0	0.61	14.2	13.9	0.25
Corey Kispert	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	3	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.93	13.5	14.9	-1.35
Jordan Poole	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-8	8	14.2	14.6	-0.41	14.4	13.2	1.26
Tyus Jones	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.6	13.8	0.71	14.6	12.9	1.73
Daniel Gafford	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-5	2	14.7	13.2	1.47	14.3	13.3	0.96
Kyle Kuzma	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	2	-12	14.5	13.9	0.61	14.2	13.7	0.57

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	2	4	14.6	13.1	1.50	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Bennedict Mathurin	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	14.1	14.0	0.17	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Buddy Hield	39	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-4	16	13.1	14.6	-1.49	15.3	13.7	1.61
Obi Toppin	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	5	-2	14.3	13.7	0.53	14.7	13.9	0.81
T.J. McConnell	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	1	6	13.3	14.7	-1.36	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Andrew Nembhard	56	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	14.7	13.3	1.36	14.5	14.2	0.29
Jordan Nwora	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	3	2	13.4	14.4	-1.03	14.2	14.4	-0.14
Bruce Brown	57	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	11	-14	14.9	12.9	2.00	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Aaron Nesmith	54	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	7	-6	13.9	14.2	-0.26	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Isaiah Jackson	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	6	-4	13.1	14.6	-1.50	14.4	14.3	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, NOP 121	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.8,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MEM 76, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 78, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%