inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 109 Excitement8.3 [224] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +35.9%
Golden State Warriors 113 Comeback1.4 [908] LVPJaden Ivey (DET): -12.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cade Cunningham0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.280.120.190.022264%0.352-0.073100%0.04
Kevin Knox II0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.130.060.001369%0.1800.0000%0.00
Jalen Duren0.100,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.04693%0.121-0.03250%-0.01
Isaiah Livers0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01383%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,0.07,0.04-0.100.10-0.031932%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Alec Burks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02-0.020.02-0.021446%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Marcus Sasser0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Wiseman-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01531%-0.0000.00367%0.00
Ausar Thompson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00325%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Killian Hayes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jaden Ivey-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.13-0.02-0.12-0.021060%0.134-0.2500%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.33,0.360.360.030.33-0.001955%0.434-0.07989%0.08
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.02-0.021077%0.191-0.032100%0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.050.005100%0.172-0.041100%0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.090.00765%0.151-0.02333%-0.03
Klay Thompson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.120.12-0.010.12-0.011847%0.182-0.054100%0.08
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00275%0.0600.0000%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.00573%0.081-0.0310%-0.01
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.00530%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.060.01858%0.024-0.123100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.324.614.727.01.444.5138.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +9.5%
GSW +31.4%
GSW +10.4%
DET -4.6%
GSW +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETGSWNBADETGSWNBA
this game14.014.814.5107.9114.1113.9
season14.214.3108.4116.2
opponent14.414.3114.1117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.214.615.314.014.0
GSW15.014.815.314.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ausar Thompson20180.09-0.590.680.003-71013.014.2-1.2214.215.0-0.74
Marcus Sasser13130.09-0.590.67-0.034-81212.814.1-1.3016.514.61.88
Alec Burks48460.05-0.550.59-0.229-132212.415.4-3.0214.115.5-1.43
James Wiseman3131-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-5613.814.1-0.2515.614.51.14
Killian Hayes3330-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-40-415.213.41.8315.314.60.63
Isaiah Livers4545-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-73-1014.213.80.4815.014.70.31
Kevin Knox II4945-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-62-815.013.02.0614.715.0-0.30
Jaden Ivey4649-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-3214.014.00.0415.813.91.88
Jalen Duren7068-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.32-51-614.113.80.2514.515.6-1.14
Cade Cunningham7675-0.570.07-0.63-0.36-73-1014.013.80.1914.515.8-1.33
Bojan Bogdanovic7475-0.620.12-0.75-0.42-73-1014.013.90.0714.715.3-0.61

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonathan Kuminga75750.83-0.331.170.3616-122814.715.3-0.6114.412.71.68
Klay Thompson72750.65-0.150.790.2414-102414.216.4-2.1214.712.02.67
Brandin Podziemski52510.350.150.190.44-37-1014.714.9-0.2112.915.1-2.18
Trayce Jackson-Davis49480.330.170.160.39-26-814.115.5-1.4412.615.2-2.54
Stephen Curry67670.310.190.130.3104-414.515.6-1.0813.315.3-1.98
Kevon Looney25270.150.35-0.19-0.026-2815.114.70.3915.113.61.54
Cory Joseph15160.150.35-0.200.0631215.314.70.6017.813.34.55
Chris Paul47500.050.45-0.41-0.0122015.314.40.8514.213.80.44
Andrew Wiggins3838-0.050.55-0.610.09-59-1415.214.60.6212.914.7-1.78
Moses Moody1111-0.090.59-0.690.02-48-1217.114.52.5515.413.81.55
Dario Saric4447-0.170.67-0.840.03-711-1815.814.11.7014.113.90.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 93, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.84,191.9%
TOR 111, NJN 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.63,0.77,0.91,191.5%
POR 81, DEN 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.82,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.72,191.5%