NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	4.9 [805]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +16.2%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.5 [1025]		LVP	Nick Richards (CHA): -12.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.00	0.01	18	74%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nathan Mensah	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Cody Martin	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.06	6	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	17	39%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
P.J. Washington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.12	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.04	0.09	12	73%	0.07	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.5	14.7	29.4	2.5	28.4	126.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +63.6%

CHA -5.8%

CHA -3.8%

CHA -1.1%

CHA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	13.8	14.5	96.8	111.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.5		108.3	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.5		115.1	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.1	16.2	18.7	14.9	16.9
CHI	13.0	14.4	14.0	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	17.3	16.9	0.46	13.3	13.9	-0.65
Brandon Miller	44	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-16	19	18.6	15.5	3.07	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Bryce McGowens	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-11	9	17.3	16.9	0.41	11.8	14.1	-2.29
Nick Richards	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	17.3	16.5	0.83	14.5	13.1	1.38
Ish Smith	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-5	-3	17.4	16.7	0.62	12.6	14.4	-1.84
Nathan Mensah	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-8	3	15.9	17.5	-1.63	13.4	14.1	-0.77
Nick Smith Jr.	31	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	14.6	18.1	-3.47	15.0	13.2	1.78
JT Thor	33	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	17.0	16.9	0.05	12.8	14.4	-1.69
Miles Bridges	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	17.1	15.9	1.18	13.7	14.8	-1.07
Terry Rozier	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	16.7	17.7	-0.97	14.2	12.7	1.53
Cody Martin	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	1	-15	16.9	17.0	-0.14	14.4	12.2	2.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	77	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-1	15	14.0	13.2	0.72	17.1	15.9	1.27
DeMar DeRozan	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	-5	23	14.0	13.3	0.67	17.3	15.6	1.63
Zach LaVine	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	9	-5	13.3	14.8	-1.54	16.3	18.0	-1.65
Nikola Vucevic	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	8	-3	13.1	14.7	-1.62	16.5	17.5	-0.97
Dalen Terry	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	7	-1	14.4	13.5	0.92	18.2	16.1	2.08
Andre Drummond	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	5	3	14.7	13.1	1.62	17.5	16.5	0.97
Jevon Carter	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	8	-3	12.5	14.5	-1.99	16.5	17.1	-0.59
Terry Taylor	20	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	8	-3	14.2	13.7	0.51	14.6	17.5	-2.94
Coby White	75	77	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	13	-13	14.2	12.5	1.67	17.0	16.8	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.72,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHA 84, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 73, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%