NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	148		Excitement	11.7 [23]		MVP	Alec Burks (DET): +70.8%
Utah Jazz	154		Comeback	6.2 [346]		LVP	Isaiah Livers (DET): -10.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.71	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.71	0.15	0.55	-0.01	17	69%	0.76	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.43	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.22	0.21	0.00	26	67%	0.45	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	7	89%	0.25	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Jaden Ivey	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	21	66%	0.25	6	-0.24	5	80%	0.03
James Wiseman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Isaiah Livers	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.05	-0.14	0.02	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.19	1	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.54,0.55	0.55	0.20	0.38	0.04	18	70%	0.67	1	-0.12	8	87%	0.06
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.15	0.39	0.01	20	71%	0.73	5	-0.21	11	91%	0.05
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.01	11	70%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.09	0.04	14	66%	0.21	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	0.00	6	67%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	5	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.4	1.8	26.0	14.5	31.3	2.5	33.9	2.5	21.3	162.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -6.4%

UTA +43.1%

DET -18.1%

UTA +24.1%

UTA +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	14.5	132.1	135.1	113.9
season	14.2	14.7		108.4	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.3		119.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	14.4	13.9	14.5	15.3	13.3	14.4
UTA	13.8	14.3	14.3	13.5	11.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Wiseman	35	36	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.04	11	-17	28	14.1	14.5	-0.45	14.0	13.6	0.40
Killian Hayes	32	32	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.23	4	-10	14	12.2	15.3	-3.09	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Kevin Knox II	28	26	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.08	6	-12	18	14.7	14.3	0.43	13.5	13.8	-0.33
Ausar Thompson	24	23	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-12	18	14.4	14.4	0.03	13.7	13.8	-0.13
Jaden Ivey	47	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-6	6	13.3	15.2	-1.92	13.5	13.9	-0.43
Bojan Bogdanovic	87	91	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	-1	-4	14.7	13.3	1.43	14.3	11.8	2.47
Alec Burks	74	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	6	-18	14.6	14.1	0.51	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Isaiah Livers	76	79	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.40	-13	7	-20	14.4	14.3	0.09	13.9	13.5	0.35
Jalen Duren	76	78	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.44	-14	8	-22	14.7	13.8	0.91	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Cade Cunningham	81	82	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.47	-13	7	-20	15.1	12.5	2.64	13.9	13.3	0.57

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Kessler	59	57	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.55	15	-9	24	13.8	13.7	0.12	16.0	12.7	3.34
Simone Fontecchio	73	73	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.46	13	-7	20	13.6	14.0	-0.46	15.2	12.8	2.41
Lauri Markkanen	81	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-6	18	13.6	14.2	-0.56	14.6	13.8	0.81
Jordan Clarkson	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	1	4	13.7	14.0	-0.34	14.4	14.5	-0.13
Collin Sexton	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	4	-2	13.6	14.0	-0.44	14.5	14.3	0.23
Keyonte George	50	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.12	4	2	2	14.0	13.6	0.44	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Kris Dunn	34	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	14.1	13.6	0.52	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Ochai Agbaji	29	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	12	-18	13.9	13.7	0.14	12.5	15.0	-2.52
Kelly Olynyk	43	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.28	0	6	-6	14.2	13.5	0.66	13.5	14.9	-1.40
John Collins	55	53	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.15	-12	18	-30	13.7	13.8	-0.12	13.0	15.6	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.45,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.54,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 109, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1	91.4%
SAS 87, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	91.1%
NOP 126, PHX 133	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.43,0.26,0.5,0.69,0.79,0.9,1,1	89.5%