NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	8.0 [271]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +20.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	2.5 [639]		LVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): -17.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.22	0.02	0.06	17	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.03
Christian Wood	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	4	70%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	21	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	11	32%	-0.11	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.21	0.21	0.05	0.13	-0.03	23	54%	0.30	3	-0.09	11	82%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.01	11	81%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.09	0.01	11	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.06
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	87%	0.16	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	31.5	15.4	31.4	0.2	41.4	147.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +56.2%

LAL -8.0%

MIN +14.9%

LAL -17.4%

MIN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	14.5	107.1	108.0	113.9
season	14.1	14.9		114.4	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.3		108.3	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	13.4	14.6	13.8	13.7
MIN	14.4	12.8	18.1	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	45	46	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	13.6	13.9	-0.31	15.7	14.7	1.02
Taurean Prince	69	71	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.50	17	-19	36	13.1	15.3	-2.23	16.1	12.9	3.23
Jarred Vanderbilt	57	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-10	18	13.9	13.5	0.39	15.4	14.9	0.50
Christian Wood	27	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-5	8	15.1	13.2	1.87	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Rui Hachimura	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	7	-16	14.2	13.5	0.70	14.1	15.8	-1.65
Austin Reaves	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-4	6	13.7	13.8	-0.04	15.1	15.3	-0.19
D'Angelo Russell	41	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	17	-36	13.8	13.7	0.06	14.2	15.9	-1.68
LeBron James	81	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	5	-12	14.0	12.8	1.19	14.9	16.4	-1.57
Anthony Davis	80	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.50	-6	4	-10	13.4	15.1	-1.68	15.4	14.4	0.95

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	78	76	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.45	19	-17	36	15.3	14.8	0.53	13.8	13.6	0.18
Anthony Edwards	79	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-6	14	15.5	14.2	1.27	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Mike Conley	71	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-3	8	15.2	15.2	-0.02	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Jaden McDaniels	52	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	3	-4	15.4	15.0	0.45	14.4	12.9	1.49
Naz Reid	57	58	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	-11	24	14.4	16.3	-1.91	13.9	13.6	0.28
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.1	0.27	14.2	13.6	0.60
Troy Brown Jr.	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	0	2	11.8	16.1	-4.28	13.0	13.9	-0.94
Kyle Anderson	52	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	12	-22	15.5	14.9	0.65	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Karl-Anthony Towns	58	59	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.47	-23	25	-48	16.1	13.9	2.26	13.8	13.7	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%
GSW 87, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.7%
LAC 98, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.51,0.66,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	92.0%