NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	4.6 [864]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +17.0%
Orlando Magic	117		Comeback	1.4 [601]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.08	25	66%	0.14	5	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	17	49%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.13	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	0.05	15	48%	-0.08	3	-0.05	12	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.01	19	71%	0.23	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	19	58%	0.16	2	-0.05	12	75%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Anthony Black	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	58%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	31.4	14.4	32.5	2.3	42.3	151.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.5%

NYK -0.7%

ORL +17.5%

ORL +3.0%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.3	14.5	103.8	111.4	113.9
season	15.6	15.1		116.8	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		109.4	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	13.2	12.8	12.5	13.2
ORL	14.5	12.5	14.3	16.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-16	23	14.6	12.7	1.86	17.0	13.3	3.67
Quentin Grimes	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-10	11	14.5	12.7	1.76	16.6	13.6	3.03
Immanuel Quickley	58	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-12	15	12.9	13.5	-0.60	15.7	12.5	3.28
Josh Hart	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-15	21	12.7	14.1	-1.43	15.2	12.9	2.30
Julius Randle	80	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-9	9	12.8	14.5	-1.62	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Donte DiVincenzo	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	3	-15	13.5	12.9	0.60	12.5	15.7	-3.28
Isaiah Hartenstein	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	9	-27	13.1	13.4	-0.36	12.9	16.1	-3.23
Jalen Brunson	76	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	1	-11	12.7	14.5	-1.76	13.6	16.6	-3.03
RJ Barrett	80	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.02	-22	13	-35	13.6	11.7	1.90	14.2	14.8	-0.60

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	88	87	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-6	21	13.5	18.5	-4.93	13.6	11.4	2.15
Goga Bitadze	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-7	23	13.4	16.2	-2.86	12.7	14.3	-1.62
Jalen Suggs	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	13.8	15.4	-1.68	13.0	13.7	-0.74
Paolo Banchero	81	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	5	-1	14.0	15.7	-1.72	12.7	14.6	-1.87
Anthony Black	68	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	9	-9	13.7	15.6	-1.89	12.2	15.1	-2.86
Cole Anthony	50	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	3	3	15.2	13.6	1.60	13.9	12.7	1.19
Chuma Okeke	24	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	4	1	15.7	14.0	1.72	14.6	12.7	1.87
Moritz Wagner	36	35	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	16	-23	16.2	13.4	2.86	14.3	12.7	1.62
Caleb Houstan	40	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	17.2	12.6	4.57	13.8	12.8	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 86, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 86, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%