NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	112		Excitement	4.7 [840]		MVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): +16.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	133		Comeback	2.1 [1062]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -11.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Richards	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	5	85%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.05	9	77%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
James Bouknight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Mensah	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	6	71%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	20	48%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	11	37%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	28%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Terry Rozier	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	14	49%	-0.02	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	12	63%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.04	0.02	19	62%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.01	0.05	8	89%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	10	73%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	13	63%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	71%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Hood-Schifino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.6	26.4	15.3	28.5	2.3	24.6	123.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.1%

LAL +8.8%

CHA -2.9%

LAL +11.1%

CHA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.3	14.5	106.7	125.5	113.9
season	14.8	14.1		108.3	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		114.3	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	13.2	14.8	14.2	14.0
LAL	14.3	12.9	10.9	15.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Bouknight	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-27	33	11.9	14.3	-2.40	16.0	12.9	3.12
JT Thor	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-27	33	11.9	14.3	-2.40	16.0	12.9	3.12
Nick Smith Jr.	38	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	13.7	14.2	-0.47	15.1	12.2	2.91
Nathan Mensah	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-19	17	14.8	13.9	0.98	14.3	13.0	1.28
Ish Smith	32	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-15	9	12.5	14.7	-2.17	12.6	13.6	-1.03
P.J. Washington	55	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.33	-15	-6	-9	13.9	14.2	-0.35	13.6	12.9	0.68
Brandon Miller	63	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-17	13	14.0	14.2	-0.21	13.3	13.2	0.06
Nick Richards	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-15	9	13.9	14.2	-0.28	12.7	14.0	-1.36
Bryce McGowens	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-22	23	14.4	13.7	0.67	14.4	12.4	2.07
Cody Martin	45	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-2	-17	13.4	14.5	-1.08	11.8	14.4	-2.62
Terry Rozier	72	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.31	-32	11	-43	14.9	12.2	2.66	12.5	14.8	-2.29
Miles Bridges	72	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.28	-33	12	-45	15.0	12.0	2.97	12.5	14.7	-2.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	63	61	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.36	34	-13	47	12.3	14.6	-2.26	15.3	12.3	3.04
Christian Wood	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	2	17	13.1	13.4	-0.37	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Max Christie	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	3	15	13.8	12.8	1.03	14.2	13.9	0.27
D'Angelo Russell	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	3	15	13.0	13.7	-0.67	14.1	13.9	0.18
Jarred Vanderbilt	54	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	19	-17	13.8	12.7	1.16	13.8	14.3	-0.53
Anthony Davis	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	15	-9	12.6	14.1	-1.46	14.1	14.0	0.03
Taurean Prince	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	19	-17	12.7	13.8	-1.14	14.0	14.1	-0.07
LeBron James	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	20	-19	13.9	12.7	1.20	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Austin Reaves	53	52	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.22	9	12	-3	13.4	13.2	0.19	13.7	14.3	-0.57
Jaxson Hayes	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.2	12.9	2.25	12.4	14.3	-1.86
Jalen Hood-Schifino	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.2	12.9	2.25	12.4	14.3	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 76, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
DET 86, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%