NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	127		Excitement	6.1 [582]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +27.1%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	1.3 [1031]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -13.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.11	-0.03	17	67%	0.32	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Paolo Banchero	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.03	0.11	-0.06	22	46%	0.20	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.03
Anthony Black	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	13	85%	0.21	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Suggs	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	-0.01	-0.01	8	83%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	-0.05	7	81%	0.16	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.02	0.03	13	79%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	20	71%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	18	44%	0.02	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.6	15.3	28.0	2.0	41.0	142.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.7%

ORL +2.0%

ORL +5.1%

ORL +12.8%

WAS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.7	12.9	14.5	116.5	110.2	113.9
season	15.1	13.7		111.8	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.4		118.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.0	14.9	12.4	15.4	13.7
WAS	14.1	13.2	13.3	10.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	90	88	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.05	26	-18	44	13.3	15.3	-2.02	12.8	13.3	-0.57
Wendell Carter Jr.	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-4	16	12.1	14.9	-2.80	14.3	11.7	2.52
Paolo Banchero	88	87	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	8	-8	13.6	13.9	-0.31	12.6	14.1	-1.56
Cole Anthony	49	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	3	2	14.5	13.0	1.52	13.5	12.4	1.06
Anthony Black	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	10	-12	13.6	13.8	-0.16	12.2	14.5	-2.25
Caleb Houstan	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	8	-8	15.2	13.2	2.06	12.8	12.9	-0.17
Gary Harris	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	4	0	13.1	14.0	-0.87	15.0	11.5	3.53
Jalen Suggs	69	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	9	-10	13.4	14.1	-0.71	12.5	13.6	-1.12
Moritz Wagner	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	11	-14	15.4	12.8	2.60	12.3	13.1	-0.83
Goga Bitadze	27	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.2	13.5	0.71	11.0	13.5	-2.51

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Kispert	41	43	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-14	20	13.3	12.6	0.65	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Kyle Kuzma	81	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-16	24	12.1	15.1	-2.96	14.1	12.1	2.00
Delon Wright	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	14.4	12.3	2.04	13.8	13.6	0.18
Danilo Gallinari	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	15.3	11.8	3.51	13.6	13.7	-0.06
Landry Shamet	17	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	4	-16	17.7	12.0	5.72	13.8	13.6	0.13
Deni Avdija	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	13.6	12.2	1.44	12.8	14.5	-1.72
Tyus Jones	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	12.1	15.0	-2.92	13.8	13.3	0.50
Daniel Gafford	74	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-7	6	11.8	15.3	-3.51	13.7	13.6	0.06
Bilal Coulibaly	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-6	4	12.6	13.2	-0.66	14.3	13.0	1.30
Jordan Poole	77	77	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.20	-18	10	-28	12.4	14.1	-1.74	13.4	14.2	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.28,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 112, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 115, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DEN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%