NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	118		Excitement	7.7 [328]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +46.4%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	2.8 [592]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -13.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.34	0.20	0.15	0.00	13	80%	0.34	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	8	61%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nic Claxton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	85%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	4	73%	0.13	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.06	-0.05	14	49%	0.15	3	-0.08	15	60%	-0.01
Cam Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.42,0.46	0.46	0.28	0.19	0.00	21	79%	0.53	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	19	56%	0.18	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	30%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	1.7	28.2	14.5	29.5	2.6	41.0	148.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.8%

DET -5.5%

DET -3.3%

BKN +13.7%

BKN +10.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	14.1	14.5	114.6	108.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		111.9	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		117.6	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.8	13.8	14.6	14.5	13.9
DET	13.4	15.0	15.4	12.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	46	42	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-9	24	13.6	14.1	-0.48	15.6	13.1	2.51
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-10	26	13.9	13.8	0.08	14.5	13.2	1.27
Cameron Johnson	56	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.64	-6	12	-18	14.3	13.3	0.98	13.1	15.4	-2.27
Mikal Bridges	84	85	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	6	-6	14.4	11.4	3.07	13.9	14.8	-0.84
Royce O'Neale	33	31	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-8	22	12.8	14.4	-1.55	15.3	13.6	1.67
Spencer Dinwiddie	73	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	5	-4	14.2	13.0	1.23	13.4	16.1	-2.74
Cam Thomas	51	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	12.8	14.9	-2.08	13.8	14.4	-0.64
Dennis Smith Jr.	45	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.14	3	3	0	13.6	14.1	-0.49	16.0	12.9	3.09
Nic Claxton	57	61	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	15	-24	14.1	13.6	0.48	13.1	15.6	-2.51

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	76	74	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.23	12	-18	30	13.8	15.0	-1.19	14.8	11.4	3.38
Jalen Duren	73	71	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-14	22	13.5	15.5	-1.99	14.5	12.6	1.86
Jaden Ivey	60	61	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.33	12	-18	30	13.4	15.0	-1.61	14.2	13.4	0.87
Ausar Thompson	17	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	14.2	14.1	0.11	12.8	14.1	-1.33
Cade Cunningham	79	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-11	16	13.7	15.4	-1.68	14.4	12.2	2.21
Marcus Sasser	20	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	5	-16	17.3	13.3	3.99	11.7	14.4	-2.70
Kevin Knox II	23	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	5	-16	16.5	13.4	3.08	13.2	14.1	-0.92
James Wiseman	25	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	6	-18	15.2	13.7	1.52	11.9	14.6	-2.67
Bojan Bogdanovic	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-3	0	13.8	15.3	-1.44	14.2	12.6	1.52
Alec Burks	58	55	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.32	-25	19	-44	14.3	13.9	0.39	12.7	15.2	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.27,0.43,0.52,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.09,0	91.5%
LAL 90, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.1,0,0	91.2%
TOR 102, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	90.8%