inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 106 Excitement9.2 [131] MVPJabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +31.9%
New Orleans Pelicans 104 Comeback3.4 [198] LVPCJ McCollum (NOP): -22.7%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.0.320,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.320.210.120.011484%0.361-0.04367%0.03
Alperen Sengun0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.260.160.100.002163%0.352-0.101782%0.02
Aaron Holiday0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00283%0.091-0.062100%0.01
Jeff Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amen Thompson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00133%-0.0200.00450%-0.04
Tari Eason-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.001136%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dillon Brooks-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01736%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Fred VanVleet-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.011140%-0.041-0.05367%-0.01
Jalen Green-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.00841%-0.005-0.12683%0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Murphy III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.150.150.050.10-0.001156%0.171-0.023100%0.03
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00286%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.06,0.050.050.09-0.04-0.011258%0.0500.00978%0.02
Zion Williamson0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.050.050.10-0.040.011667%0.313-0.261050%-0.08
Herbert Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jose Alvarado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.090.0030%-0.111-0.0600%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.06-0.001145%0.016-0.1900%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.04-0.140.051054%0.004-0.23475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.11.826.414.734.32.538.2147.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +4.3%
HOU +11.0%
NOP -3.1%
HOU +34.1%
HOU +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNOPNBAHOUNOPNBA
this game15.015.314.5110.4110.6113.9
season14.214.4113.2114.8
opponent14.714.6111.0112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.916.415.214.415.0
NOP14.914.215.416.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green41400.66-0.160.830.496-41015.114.90.2716.014.81.25
Dillon Brooks54530.480.020.460.316-41013.716.6-2.9416.813.43.44
Fred VanVleet70690.400.100.310.3711014.815.5-0.7515.714.21.48
Jabari Smith Jr.72720.330.170.160.3011014.815.5-0.7415.714.11.62
Alperen Sengun75750.310.190.110.36-24-615.014.80.2315.415.00.41
Jae'Sean Tate24220.170.33-0.160.1411015.514.80.7414.115.7-1.62
Amen Thompson22220.150.35-0.190.073-1415.714.80.9614.115.7-1.62
Aaron Holiday32310.150.35-0.190.0920215.115.00.1114.415.8-1.36
Tari Eason4341-0.020.52-0.550.15-68-1416.313.92.4613.416.8-3.44
Jalen Green4745-0.140.64-0.77-0.08-24-614.915.1-0.1515.215.5-0.29

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naji Marshall23270.15-0.650.810.044-61012.816.2-3.3715.714.70.94
Jonas Valanciunas54530.13-0.630.75-0.025-71214.816.0-1.2114.815.3-0.52
Jose Alvarado18200.08-0.580.660.022-4614.215.6-1.4416.214.71.53
Dyson Daniels2526-0.14-0.360.220.04-64-1015.515.30.2016.214.51.70
Herbert Jones3535-0.21-0.290.080.17-1311-2417.014.32.6614.215.4-1.24
Brandon Ingram7070-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.422-4615.714.21.5614.915.3-0.38
Zion Williamson7170-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.452-4615.514.90.5514.316.8-2.55
Trey Murphy III6668-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.564-61015.016.0-1.0115.613.52.05
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl3942-0.640.14-0.79-0.41-86-1416.014.81.1915.314.70.61
CJ McCollum6969-0.660.16-0.82-0.60-20-215.315.30.0114.516.3-1.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.73,0.62,0.61,0.45,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 106, GSW 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.27,092.6%
LAL 95, POR 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,090.8%
IND 107, NYK 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.22,0.05,090.6%