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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 126 Excitement11.5 [31] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +28.5%
Golden State Warriors 132 Comeback18.6 [42] LVPJayson Tatum (BOS): -32.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.010.10-0.031250%0.161-0.022100%0.04
Derrick White0.130,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.130.16-0.020.012460%0.1300.00250%-0.02
Payton Pritchard0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.00-0.00692%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Neemias Queta0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00862%0.0700.0000%0.00
Oshae Brissett0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.013100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.0170%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.130.05-0.18-0.002254%-0.004-0.13887%0.04
Al Horford-0.310,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31,-0.31,-0.39,-0.31-0.04-0.270.001443%-0.182-0.132100%0.01
Jayson Tatum-0.330,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33-0.02-0.32-0.011741%-0.3300.003100%0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.280.280.160.150.032170%0.384-0.095100%0.01
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.060.011361%0.141-0.0320%-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.01771%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.010.00679%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.000.022157%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.02-0.00950%0.0100.002100%0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00462%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00260%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011125%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.03-0.220.001237%-0.2500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.03.027.716.025.33.430.22.612.0144.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.1135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +87.6%
BOS -18.5%
BOS -21.1%
GSW +6.9%
BOS -5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSGSWNBABOSGSWNBA
this game14.814.814.5117.8122.2113.9
season14.914.3120.7116.2
opponent14.414.7114.1109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS13.215.213.020.911.014.8
GSW14.512.017.015.216.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Neemias Queta39400.30-0.801.100.0110-162615.114.70.4715.414.41.07
Sam Hauser40410.11-0.610.730.081-7815.014.70.3114.714.8-0.15
Oshae Brissett13120.05-0.550.600.021-7813.315.0-1.7315.714.61.12
Svi Mykhailiuk450.04-0.540.59-0.043-91213.714.9-1.1212.614.9-2.25
Payton Pritchard3737-0.12-0.380.250.17-104-1416.513.92.5714.414.9-0.57
Derrick White8383-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.43-1-5414.117.2-3.0615.013.81.29
Jaylen Brown8585-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.40-3-3014.316.7-2.3915.013.71.39
Al Horford8080-0.600.10-0.70-0.36-82-1014.615.6-1.0214.714.9-0.24
Jayson Tatum8383-0.610.11-0.71-0.34-93-1215.213.51.7714.615.1-0.48
Jrue Holiday7174-0.730.23-0.95-0.31-148-2215.214.01.2114.116.1-2.00

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trayce Jackson-Davis55551.06-0.561.620.3325-194415.014.50.5516.013.62.48
Chris Paul71690.79-0.291.070.529-31215.513.22.3315.014.50.47
Stephen Curry77790.59-0.090.680.368-21014.515.4-0.9415.014.30.74
Klay Thompson81800.55-0.050.610.357-1814.515.5-1.0214.515.9-1.46
Jonathan Kuminga71690.54-0.040.590.4633014.814.60.2814.116.1-1.93
Brandin Podziemski37340.010.49-0.48-0.0524-212.815.8-2.9914.914.80.16
Cory Joseph1111-0.030.53-0.56-0.0924-219.014.34.7314.214.9-0.72
Moses Moody3133-0.050.55-0.61-0.1433014.514.8-0.2816.214.22.04
Dario Saric3128-0.100.60-0.69-0.1006-615.214.60.5815.514.60.91
Andrew Wiggins4445-0.360.86-1.22-0.07-1016-2614.115.2-1.1115.014.70.37
Kevon Looney3132-0.501.00-1.500.06-1925-4415.114.60.5312.116.0-3.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 102, LAL 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.89,0.78,0.98,190.5%
IND 100, MIA 1030.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.64,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.72,190.0%
LAC 113, CLE 1180.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.17,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.96,189.4%