NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	120		Excitement	8.4 [219]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +55.1%
Golden State Warriors	124		Comeback	1.7 [683]		LVP	Chris Paul (GSW): -8.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.22	0.05	0.04	24	76%	0.42	5	-0.19	6	100%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	12	52%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nic Claxton	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	12	70%	0.25	2	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.03	10	55%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	17	49%	0.18	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Jalen Wilson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.02	13	57%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.55	0.55	0.24	0.32	0.00	22	79%	0.61	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.27,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	19	55%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	59%	0.09	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	30.2	14.4	31.2	0.1	29.3	133.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +14.5%

BKN -2.7%

GSW +5.9%

GSW +27.4%

GSW +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	GSW	NBA	BKN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	15.3	14.5	120.0	125.3	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		111.9	116.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.1	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.6	13.9	12.5	13.6	13.6
GSW	14.2	15.5	14.7	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	14	15	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-6	8	18.1	12.9	5.19	16.9	15.1	1.87
Day'Ron Sharpe	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-2	0	15.2	13.3	1.95	18.8	14.7	4.14
Cameron Johnson	63	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-2	0	13.5	13.8	-0.32	13.7	18.2	-4.44
Jalen Wilson	20	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	1	-6	15.4	13.1	2.30	18.3	14.7	3.59
Royce O'Neale	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	13.6	13.7	-0.18	16.7	12.6	4.11
Mikal Bridges	85	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	13.5	14.4	-0.93	14.8	18.6	-3.76
Nic Claxton	73	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	1	-6	12.8	15.7	-2.92	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Cam Thomas	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	13.8	12.9	0.97	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Spencer Dinwiddie	86	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.46	-6	2	-8	12.9	18.1	-5.19	15.1	16.9	-1.87

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	14.5	18.2	-3.74	13.3	14.7	-1.45
Kevon Looney	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	14.8	16.1	-1.29	12.8	14.7	-1.83
Klay Thompson	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-2	8	14.8	16.7	-1.86	13.5	13.8	-0.31
Jonathan Kuminga	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	0	4	13.2	17.3	-4.10	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Brandin Podziemski	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	4	-4	15.9	14.3	1.68	14.2	12.5	1.64
Chris Paul	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	1	2	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.3	14.2	-0.88
Andrew Wiggins	51	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	4	-4	17.3	13.3	4.02	14.1	13.1	0.97
Moses Moody	28	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	16.7	14.8	1.86	13.8	13.5	0.31
Dario Saric	39	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	8	-12	16.7	14.4	2.27	14.7	12.8	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.65,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.71,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 117, OKC 120	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	91.3%
TOR 103, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.68,0.96,1	91.2%
PHX 109, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.77,0.74,1	90.7%