NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	129		Excitement	10.4 [56]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +51.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	133		Comeback	1.3 [977]		LVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): -25.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32	0.21	0.14	0.03	20	75%	0.38	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,-0.04,-0.12,-0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2	0.15	0.08	0.03	30	57%	0.31	2	-0.10	12	83%	0.06
Jevon Carter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Patrick Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	9	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Nikola Vucevic	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	16	44%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.52	0.19	0.33	0.00	13	73%	0.59	2	-0.07	18	78%	0.04
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.06	0.01	11	86%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.00	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.02	11	68%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	11	71%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.08	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.29,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	17	34%	-0.16	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.3	14.8	26.3	2.5	41.8	1.8	21.2	161.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +70.8%

MIL +11.9%

CHI -20.7%

CHI -16.8%

MIL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	14.5	120.6	120.9	113.9
season	14.5	14.3		113.4	117.0
opponent	14.3	15.0		114.8	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.8	15.0	13.3	15.3	17.6	15.3
MIL	14.5	16.3	13.3	14.1	10.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	57	57	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-6	8	15.1	15.5	-0.43	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Jevon Carter	27	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-3	2	15.6	15.1	0.48	13.5	14.2	-0.78
Andre Drummond	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	17.5	14.5	2.97	15.1	13.7	1.35
Julian Phillips	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	15.1	15.3	-0.14	15.3	14.0	1.31
DeMar DeRozan	83	88	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-10	16	15.3	15.1	0.24	13.9	14.5	-0.56
Dalen Terry	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	2	-8	17.6	14.7	2.92	15.6	13.7	1.93
Nikola Vucevic	79	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	14.5	17.5	-2.97	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Coby White	91	96	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-5	6	14.5	19.7	-5.19	14.1	13.5	0.64
Patrick Williams	86	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.0	0.40	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Torrey Craig	55	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	7	-18	15.5	15.1	0.42	14.7	13.4	1.31

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	84	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.31	13	-9	22	13.6	15.5	-1.89	15.4	14.7	0.73
Khris Middleton	71	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.48	0	4	-4	14.5	13.3	1.20	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Damian Lillard	87	84	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	4	-4	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.7	17.2	-2.42
Brook Lopez	87	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	5	-6	14.2	13.6	0.62	14.8	16.7	-1.93
Malik Beasley	73	72	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	14.1	14.0	0.12	14.2	17.4	-3.21
MarJon Beauchamp	27	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	-2	8	12.9	14.4	-1.50	16.2	14.9	1.24
Bobby Portis	49	49	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	8	-12	14.6	13.6	0.97	15.8	14.8	0.93
AJ Green	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	4	-4	15.7	13.5	2.23	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Cameron Payne	33	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	4	-4	14.9	13.7	1.26	17.6	14.2	3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.51,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.75,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.84,0.84,1	90.3%
TOR 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	90.3%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	90.2%