NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	118		Excitement	7.6 [345]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +51.0%
Chicago Bulls	124		Comeback	3.2 [307]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): -18.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	15	64%	0.17	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zion Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	15	69%	0.18	5	-0.16	9	78%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dyson Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	53%	0.04	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.39,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.23	0.28	-0.01	17	84%	0.61	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	6	107%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.02	18	63%	0.23	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.03	11	54%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	12	25%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.0	14.6	27.6	2.4	39.5	134.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +76.3%

NOP -17.2%

NOP -5.5%

CHI +1.6%

NOP -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	14.5	124.2	126.5	113.9
season	14.4	14.5		114.8	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.7		115.1	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.8	15.9	15.7	12.4	14.3
CHI	15.6	19.1	13.8	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	71	72	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.31	13	-19	32	14.1	14.8	-0.65	16.4	13.0	3.48
Dyson Daniels	43	45	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-10	14	14.8	13.9	0.97	15.4	15.6	-0.26
Herbert Jones	69	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-11	16	14.0	15.2	-1.22	16.4	13.2	3.17
Brandon Ingram	71	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-7	8	14.0	15.2	-1.21	16.1	14.0	2.09
Jose Alvarado	34	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	1	-8	14.7	14.1	0.67	15.7	15.4	0.36
Jordan Hawkins	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	3	-12	14.4	14.2	0.16	14.8	16.3	-1.41
Naji Marshall	54	55	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	2	-10	14.0	14.7	-0.62	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Cody Zeller	23	24	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	11	-28	15.0	14.1	0.92	13.8	16.1	-2.29
Zion Williamson	60	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	6	-18	14.5	13.9	0.62	14.6	17.1	-2.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	40	40	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.14	16	-10	26	14.2	16.4	-2.15	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Coby White	84	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	0	6	15.3	17.1	-1.81	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Nikola Vucevic	68	66	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	15.7	15.0	0.70	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Ayo Dosunmu	67	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	-2	10	16.0	14.5	1.52	14.2	14.6	-0.38
DeMar DeRozan	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	15.6	15.3	0.30	14.4	13.8	0.59
Jevon Carter	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.6	-0.30	16.0	13.6	2.45
Julian Phillips	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	1	4	14.9	15.6	-0.70	15.6	14.2	1.37
Andre Drummond	29	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	6	-6	15.4	15.6	-0.20	15.1	13.9	1.20
Alex Caruso	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	15.8	15.4	0.34	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Patrick Williams	59	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.21	-10	16	-26	16.0	14.7	1.29	14.1	14.5	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.65,0.53,0.8,0.67,0.9,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%
NJN 82, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	91.7%
WAS 92, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	91.7%