NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	9.4 [116]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (PHI): +27.1%
Boston Celtics	125		Comeback	2.3 [826]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -33.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	15	74%	0.33	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Paul Reed	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.03	0.03	7	93%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	69%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.05	12	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	72%	0.20	2	-0.16	7	100%	0.13
KJ Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	19	50%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.10	-0.23	0.00	16	40%	-0.16	4	-0.18	3	33%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	7	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	9	91%	0.22	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.02	-0.00	11	70%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.06
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.13	0.00	20	45%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	78%	0.19	7	-0.18	9	78%	0.02
Luke Kornet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.01	5	92%	0.10	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.10	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.7	25.0	14.7	33.3	2.8	37.0	145.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.3%

BOS +17.7%

PHI -9.4%

PHI -2.7%

BOS +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	12.7	14.5	114.4	121.4	113.9
season	14.9	14.9		115.6	120.7
opponent	14.7	14.5		109.6	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	14.9	15.2	17.1	15.1
BOS	11.6	14.5	11.9	12.9	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	35	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-10	14	13.2	16.1	-2.89	12.5	12.7	-0.23
Mo Bamba	44	42	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-9	12	14.5	15.6	-1.16	12.9	12.5	0.40
KJ Martin	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-6	6	14.2	15.5	-1.32	13.6	12.3	1.30
De'Anthony Melton	78	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-3	0	15.7	13.6	2.09	12.6	13.0	-0.45
Marcus Morris Sr.	61	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-4	2	15.1	15.2	-0.07	12.5	13.0	-0.47
Paul Reed	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	0	-6	16.2	14.3	1.90	12.5	12.8	-0.35
Tobias Harris	81	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	15.4	14.3	1.13	12.6	13.0	-0.47
Robert Covington	67	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	3	-12	15.0	15.5	-0.53	12.6	12.8	-0.23
Patrick Beverley	81	82	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	6	-18	15.5	13.9	1.58	12.8	12.1	0.72

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	72	71	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.30	18	-12	30	11.8	14.7	-2.96	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Al Horford	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-4	14	12.6	12.8	-0.20	15.5	14.4	1.05
Jaylen Brown	77	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-4	14	12.6	13.0	-0.39	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Jrue Holiday	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	1	4	13.0	11.8	1.18	15.8	13.7	2.06
Payton Pritchard	47	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	8	-10	13.0	12.4	0.69	16.1	14.2	1.88
Neemias Queta	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	3	0	13.5	12.5	1.01	15.8	15.0	0.83
Dalano Banton	22	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	5	-4	12.1	12.8	-0.68	13.8	15.5	-1.76
Sam Hauser	53	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	13.2	12.1	1.19	15.4	14.9	0.46
Jayson Tatum	60	61	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	11	-16	12.8	12.5	0.23	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Luke Kornet	18	18	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.19	-7	13	-20	12.2	12.8	-0.54	12.8	15.6	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.55,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	90.8%
CHI 100, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.77,1	90.6%
CHI 105, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.29,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.51,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	90.3%