NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	127		Excitement	6.4 [530]		MVP	Chet Holmgren (OKC): +22.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	123		Comeback	1.8 [608]		LVP	Josh Giddey (OKC): -6.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	17	62%	0.20	1	-0.01	11	82%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.01	5	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	18	61%	0.23	4	-0.11	21	90%	0.09
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	78%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chet Holmgren	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.23	0.23	0.04	0.04	21	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.04	21	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	36.0	14.0	27.0	1.8	47.2	152.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.7%

PHI +15.8%

PHI +21.4%

OKC -15.1%

OKC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	OKC	NBA	PHI	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.5	129.6	124.2	113.9
season	14.9	13.9		115.6	117.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		109.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.9	14.6	13.9	15.8	14.8
OKC	15.8	13.6	17.4	11.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	70	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-10	24	13.8	17.5	-3.69	14.1	15.2	-1.18
Tobias Harris	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.01	20	-16	36	13.7	17.0	-3.28	15.0	13.2	1.80
Joel Embiid	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-3	10	13.7	19.8	-6.13	14.4	14.4	0.02
De'Anthony Melton	65	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	0	4	13.6	17.2	-3.51	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Tyrese Maxey	83	85	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	-2	8	15.0	13.9	1.13	14.2	15.6	-1.35
Patrick Beverley	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	14	-24	15.9	14.0	1.84	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Robert Covington	40	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.38	-8	12	-20	17.0	13.3	3.67	15.1	13.9	1.17
Paul Reed	18	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	19.8	13.7	6.13	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	26	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	14	-24	17.8	13.8	4.01	15.4	14.1	1.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ousmane Dieng	16	15	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-12	20	16.6	14.0	2.56	15.2	14.8	0.44
Davis Bertans	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-12	20	11.7	15.3	-3.52	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Aaron Wiggins	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-4	4	14.7	14.2	0.52	16.1	14.0	2.12
Chet Holmgren	68	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-8	12	13.9	15.5	-1.56	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Kenrich Williams	38	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	13.1	15.3	-2.21	17.8	13.1	4.75
Luguentz Dort	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	9	-22	14.3	14.6	-0.29	15.3	14.4	0.92
Jaylin Williams	52	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-3	2	15.3	13.5	1.80	15.1	14.5	0.64
Cason Wallace	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	11	-26	16.4	13.6	2.71	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-5	6	14.6	13.7	0.93	14.0	17.4	-3.41
Isaiah Joe	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.48	3	-7	10	14.4	14.5	-0.10	13.4	16.6	-3.24
Josh Giddey	54	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	9	-22	14.3	14.5	-0.18	14.4	15.4	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, CHH 87	0.5,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
PHI 102, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
OKC 101, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%