inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 112 Excitement7.8 [312] MVPDomantas Sabonis (SAC): +19.3%
New Orleans Pelicans 117 Comeback1.9 [452] LVPTrey Lyles (SAC): -12.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis0.190,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.100.011172%0.253-0.061070%-0.08
Harrison Barnes0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.130.15-0.010.011369%0.1300.006100%0.03
Malik Monk0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07-0.010.06-0.02848%0.102-0.035100%0.04
Davion Mitchell0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.000100%0.0500.002100%0.02
Chris Duarte0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.023100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Huerter-0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.011036%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Kessler Edwards-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.060.13-0.160.041763%0.042-0.10786%0.01
JaVale McGee-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0000%-0.022-0.0620%-0.02
Sasha Vezenkov-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.01530%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.03-0.17-0.01871%0.073-0.191100%0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.140.140.100.060.021664%0.202-0.06771%-0.01
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.120.120.090.030.00592%0.171-0.05367%-0.01
Brandon Ingram0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.10.100.050.050.011857%0.132-0.034100%0.01
Jordan Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.01957%0.0600.005100%0.02
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03936%0.0100.004100%0.02
Herbert Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.04-0.02639%0.032-0.03683%0.04
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0,0-0.000.07-0.070.01968%0.071-0.08475%-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jose Alvarado0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00945%-0.031-0.0340%-0.15
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.20.832.415.228.92.036.7145.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +29.6%
SAC -29.0%
NOP +21.2%
NOP +22.8%
NOP +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACNOPNBASACNOPNBA
this game14.714.214.5109.8120.6113.9
season14.014.4115.6114.8
opponent14.714.8111.0113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC13.615.717.012.814.7
NOP12.613.015.616.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duarte40400.47-0.971.44-0.1822-274913.915.3-1.3816.612.64.01
Davion Mitchell20200.23-0.730.97-0.039-142314.514.8-0.2116.713.63.13
Kessler Edwards22-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-5510.514.8-4.3010.014.3-4.31
Domantas Sabonis7372-0.06-0.440.38-0.4112-172914.515.3-0.7814.912.32.61
Kevin Huerter5551-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-72-916.312.93.3814.014.4-0.42
Sasha Vezenkov2423-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-149-2314.014.9-0.9912.114.9-2.73
Malik Monk5754-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.29-2-3113.516.3-2.7814.314.20.10
JaVale McGee129-0.38-0.12-0.270.08-1611-2718.414.24.198.914.8-5.87
Trey Lyles6158-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.22-94-1314.515.0-0.5613.615.1-1.44
Harrison Barnes8479-0.600.10-0.70-0.42-61-715.113.12.0214.314.10.20
De'Aaron Fox8277-0.730.23-0.97-0.32-149-2314.814.50.2113.616.7-3.13

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naji Marshall44460.94-0.441.380.2125-204512.315.8-3.4715.314.21.03
Jonas Valanciunas55570.410.090.330.3623-114.314.10.1715.014.30.68
Zion Williamson70740.320.180.130.35-16-714.413.70.6614.914.30.54
Brandon Ingram55620.300.200.110.3005-514.613.70.8415.014.30.60
Jose Alvarado36390.280.220.060.029-41313.114.9-1.7616.813.43.45
Cody Zeller16180.200.30-0.11-0.017-2911.114.8-3.7015.914.51.42
Herbert Jones79820.190.31-0.120.42-813-2114.911.23.6814.017.6-3.59
Jordan Hawkins42420.060.44-0.38-0.0023-114.514.00.5814.614.8-0.12
Dyson Daniels6263-0.090.59-0.680.11-712-1914.613.61.0113.516.6-3.08
Larry Nance Jr.2627-0.110.61-0.720.01-49-1316.013.62.3813.315.2-1.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.76,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 78, NYK 850.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.96,193.1%
MIN 115, LAL 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.84,193.1%
WAS 89, MEM 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.98,192.2%