NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	6.2 [559]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (BOS): +30.8%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	2.3 [843]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -14.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.11	-0.03	6	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	21	55%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	19	51%	0.07	3	-0.11	11	82%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.14	0.01	11	81%	0.34	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	6	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.06	0.10	23	69%	0.22	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	9	74%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	18	52%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	0.06	7	21%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	25.0	14.4	31.5	2.7	33.0	131.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.3%

BOS +10.6%

NYK -7.2%

BOS +7.3%

BOS +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	14.5	112.6	129.5	113.9
season	15.6	14.8		116.8	121.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.6	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.6	18.0	16.3	18.1	17.4
BOS	14.4	15.4	13.7	18.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	12.0	17.5	-5.51	21.5	15.3	6.16
Jericho Sims	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	12.0	17.5	-5.51	20.0	15.4	4.57
Josh Hart	78	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-6	-4	17.3	18.6	-1.24	16.0	11.6	4.37
Donte DiVincenzo	28	29	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-13	10	20.0	16.2	3.82	15.5	15.5	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.18	-14	-2	-12	16.4	20.0	-3.64	15.6	15.3	0.30
Isaiah Hartenstein	25	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-14	12	20.0	16.4	3.64	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Julius Randle	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	16.9	19.6	-2.73	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Quentin Grimes	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-6	-4	15.8	20.2	-4.36	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Immanuel Quickley	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	19.5	15.2	4.32	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Jalen Brunson	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	4	-24	17.2	18.6	-1.44	15.5	15.5	0.01

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-1	18	15.1	16.7	-1.58	16.5	20.8	-4.27
Kristaps Porzingis	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	-3	22	15.1	16.6	-1.52	16.6	19.6	-3.01
Payton Pritchard	34	34	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	11	-6	14.9	15.9	-0.97	18.9	16.5	2.31
Jayson Tatum	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	4	8	16.1	12.5	3.64	17.3	18.1	-0.76
Sam Hauser	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	10	-4	15.3	15.6	-0.33	19.6	15.9	3.69
Derrick White	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	2	12	15.5	15.4	0.09	16.5	19.3	-2.79
Al Horford	38	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	14	-12	14.8	16.0	-1.21	19.3	16.0	3.36
Jrue Holiday	67	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	11	-6	16.3	12.9	3.44	17.2	18.3	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.68,0.92,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, CHH 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
VAN 96, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1	94.0%
ATL 86, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%