NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	8.8 [164]		MVP	Nic Claxton (BKN): +11.3%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	6.6 [304]		LVP	Deni Avdija (WAS): -23.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	7	63%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Landry Shamet	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.04	0.01	12	80%	0.28	2	-0.20	1	0%	-0.03
Daniel Gafford	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.06,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	12	48%	0.09	3	-0.27	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle Kuzma	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	16	36%	-0.21	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	18	37%	-0.16	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	8	31%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	4	80%	0.11	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	10	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	16	41%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.04	0.01	29	43%	0.05	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.2	14.7	27.3	2.4	40.5	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +26.7%

WAS -13.6%

BKN +27.1%

BKN +6.8%

BKN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	13.7	14.5	14.5	92.2	100.0	113.9
season	13.7	14.8		109.8	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		114.7	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	13.2	14.1	12.2	13.7
BKN	13.8	15.1	14.2	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	44	43	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.07	14	-22	36	12.6	14.5	-1.90	14.6	14.5	0.15
Landry Shamet	43	43	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-20	32	13.0	14.2	-1.16	14.8	14.3	0.47
Corey Kispert	57	57	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.01	4	-12	16	13.5	14.0	-0.59	14.7	14.3	0.33
Daniel Gafford	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	14.4	13.4	1.04	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Bilal Coulibaly	73	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-10	12	13.4	14.6	-1.17	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Deni Avdija	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-7	6	13.6	14.3	-0.71	14.8	13.5	1.24
Tyus Jones	48	47	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.25	-16	8	-24	14.4	13.1	1.21	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Jordan Poole	67	67	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.22	-22	14	-36	14.1	13.0	1.05	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Kyle Kuzma	64	65	-1.13	0.63	-1.76	-0.28	-29	21	-50	14.5	12.4	2.06	14.3	15.0	-0.71

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	72	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-7	22	14.8	13.9	0.93	14.2	12.4	1.82
Mikal Bridges	71	72	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.19	17	-9	26	14.5	14.7	-0.23	14.2	12.6	1.58
Spencer Dinwiddie	63	64	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-5	18	14.3	14.8	-0.45	14.5	12.4	2.11
Nic Claxton	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	0	8	14.9	14.0	0.95	13.8	13.6	0.23
Royce O'Neale	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	10	-12	14.4	14.8	-0.41	12.3	16.5	-4.22
Dorian Finney-Smith	40	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.18	7	1	6	14.6	14.5	0.17	15.7	12.4	3.29
Trendon Watford	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	13.4	14.8	-1.43	12.5	14.0	-1.45
Lonnie Walker IV	31	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	9	-10	14.7	14.5	0.23	12.8	14.1	-1.34
Day'Ron Sharpe	40	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.09	-4	12	-16	14.0	14.9	-0.85	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Dennis Smith Jr.	43	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	18	-28	14.9	14.2	0.71	12.4	14.6	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.24,0.4,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.76,0.95,1	91.4%
SAC 102, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.15,0.32,0.73,1	91.1%
SAS 105, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.45,0.68,0.96,1	90.5%