inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 109 Excitement11.4 [34] MVPJaden McDaniels (MIN): +23.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 114 Comeback3.6 [265] LVPJrue Holiday (BOS): -33.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Hauser0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.06-0.02861%0.141-0.032100%0.01
Kristaps Porzingis0.090,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.090.060.060.031453%0.111-0.021080%-0.01
Jaylen Brown0.070,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.022157%0.223-0.15475%0.00
Luke Kornet0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00262%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Stevens-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.060.03-0.080.012262%0.276-0.33875%0.03
Payton Pritchard-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.06-0.20-0.01530%-0.022-0.2300%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.340,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.32,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34-0.15-0.19-0.011632%-0.093-0.24667%0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.230.230.020.21-0.011856%0.373-0.1300%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.09-0.00580%0.1600.0000%0.00
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,0.11,0.13,0.120.120.20-0.070.012567%0.193-0.07786%0.03
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.05-0.02970%0.143-0.022100%0.01
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.000100%0.0600.002100%0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00662%0.081-0.0310%-0.02
Shake Milton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.02-0.110.01661%-0.042-0.061118%-0.31
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.030.00621%-0.064-0.11250%-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.18-0.14-0.021035%-0.047-0.2500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.21.827.315.333.21.835.62.510.6158.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.0135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +64.2%
BOS -36.5%
BOS -15.6%
MIN +29.2%
MIN +8.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMINNBABOSMINNBA
this game14.214.114.597.3102.7113.9
season14.814.8121.3114.5
opponent14.714.7108.2109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS12.913.318.213.113.114.2
MIN13.015.011.017.514.214.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Payton Pritchard40430.30-0.801.10-0.0813-183113.914.4-0.4514.214.00.22
Luke Kornet33330.19-0.690.880.074-91314.514.10.4314.913.81.15
Svi Mykhailiuk89-0.06-0.440.380.00-2-3114.214.20.0110.714.4-3.74
Lamar Stevens1110-0.07-0.430.370.08-50-513.814.3-0.4712.714.2-1.54
Al Horford7875-0.10-0.400.30-0.317-121913.715.4-1.6814.413.40.97
Sam Hauser4851-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-2-115.413.41.9514.313.90.40
Jayson Tatum9392-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.363-81113.816.4-2.5614.213.60.56
Kristaps Porzingis7776-0.560.06-0.62-0.35-72-914.114.6-0.5213.914.5-0.56
Jaylen Brown8481-0.770.27-1.04-0.30-1611-2714.413.90.5114.014.4-0.41
Jrue Holiday8885-0.970.47-1.43-0.41-1914-3314.612.81.8414.014.4-0.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gobert83871.15-0.651.790.4424-194313.815.0-1.1614.712.52.27
Kyle Anderson51510.88-0.381.250.706-1714.513.70.7614.613.90.71
Anthony Edwards80800.86-0.361.220.3318-133114.213.90.3213.715.5-1.76
Nickeil Alexander-Walker41430.330.170.16-0.0513-82112.315.1-2.8315.813.32.55
Jaden McDaniels98980.240.26-0.020.41-611-1714.411.52.9013.718.3-4.62
Jordan McLaughlin770.150.35-0.200.0632110.914.3-3.4617.914.03.86
Naz Reid5350-0.090.59-0.69-0.04-27-914.114.10.0313.914.5-0.62
Shake Milton66-0.170.67-0.830.07-813-2114.714.10.6014.214.2-0.08
Mike Conley8079-0.340.84-1.190.18-1823-4114.513.01.5313.416.2-2.84
Karl-Anthony Towns5659-0.490.99-1.49-0.35-510-1514.513.70.7414.613.80.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 103, PHI 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,188.9%
TOR 101, CHH 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.99,188.6%
SAC 103, CHA 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,188.2%