NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	9.6 [103]		MVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): +28.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	106		Comeback	1.9 [790]		LVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): -21.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	9	68%	0.27	3	-0.13	10	90%	0.06
Corliss Williamson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.13	-0.11	0.02	20	65%	0.23	3	-0.22	9	89%	0.04
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	16	38%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.02,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	24	44%	0.03	3	-0.24	4	100%	0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.14	0.03	13	74%	0.33	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.05
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	10	57%	0.24	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	12	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	5	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	5	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.28,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	14	44%	-0.04	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.05
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.21	-0.01	5	43%	-0.21	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	30.8	15.7	26.5	1.8	35.2	2.4	19.2	159.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.4%

SAC -5.5%

SAC -3.2%

CHA +48.0%

CHA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	98.1	99.1	104.4
season	15.3	14.8		104.7	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	15.1	14.7	16.0	15.3	13.9	15.1
CHA	14.9	15.3	14.0	15.4	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	11	12	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-7	11	15.3	15.1	0.18	15.6	14.8	0.78
Bonzi Wells	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	14.5	15.2	-0.69	15.6	14.8	0.78
Kenny Thomas	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-3	3	15.7	14.9	0.81	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Francisco Garcia	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-4	5	17.8	14.7	3.12	13.0	15.2	-2.17
Brian Skinner	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.9	14.9	0.02
Jason Hart	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.9	14.9	0.02
Mike Bibby	94	96	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	14.9	16.7	-1.80	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	90	93	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.53	3	-6	9	15.4	13.5	1.92	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Peja Stojakovic	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	2	-7	14.5	16.9	-2.44	15.3	13.6	1.73
Brad Miller	89	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	1	-5	14.7	17.2	-2.45	15.0	14.5	0.50
Kevin Martin	83	84	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.41	-10	7	-17	15.0	15.5	-0.49	14.7	15.6	-0.86

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	60	57	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-3	9	14.5	15.4	-0.96	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Raymond Felton	79	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-2	7	15.1	14.4	0.67	15.4	14.4	0.97
Primoz Brezec	94	92	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	0	3	15.2	12.8	2.41	14.7	18.2	-3.47
Gerald Wallace	85	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	1	1	15.3	13.3	1.98	14.5	17.4	-2.83
Bernard Robinson	21	20	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	-1	5	13.2	15.3	-2.11	17.1	14.6	2.45
Emeka Okafor	64	62	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	-2	7	15.3	14.3	1.06	14.7	15.7	-1.03
Jumaine Jones	43	41	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	5	-7	14.7	15.0	-0.24	16.1	14.5	1.69
Matt Carroll	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	1	1	14.9	14.9	0.05	16.8	14.5	2.33
Kevin Burleson	28	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	5	-7	14.4	15.1	-0.67	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Kareem Rush	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	16.3	14.7	1.68	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Sean May	19	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	12.5	15.4	-2.87	16.6	14.7	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.73,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.92,1	90.6%
HOU 104, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1	90.5%
NYK 100, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.75,0.84,1,1,1	89.9%