NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	129		Excitement	9.7 [96]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +42.5%
Brooklyn Nets	125		Comeback	4.7 [401]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): -18.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.18,0.28,0.43,0.43	0.10	0.33	0.01	27	60%	0.52	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.04
Khris Middleton	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31	0.10	0.21	-0.00	10	68%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Cameron Payne	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	15	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Bobby Portis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
MarJon Beauchamp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.09	-0.02	33	62%	0.36	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.16	-0.01	21	63%	0.33	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	8	75%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	14	68%	0.17	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.14	-0.03	12	29%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	24.7	15.3	28.3	2.8	41.6	138.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +26.9%

MIL +13.5%

MIL +25.8%

BKN -6.9%

BKN -9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	14.5	126.5	120.2	113.9
season	14.3	14.8		117.0	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.7	114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	15.1	13.5	14.2	14.2
BKN	13.7	13.2	14.7	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	78	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.59	15	-11	26	13.6	16.0	-2.41	13.7	13.8	-0.14
Bobby Portis	54	55	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-10	24	13.8	14.7	-0.83	14.7	12.7	1.94
Khris Middleton	47	48	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	13.4	15.0	-1.60	14.1	13.4	0.75
MarJon Beauchamp	34	35	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.08	18	-14	32	14.4	14.1	0.32	14.1	13.6	0.48
Cameron Payne	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	-5	14	14.9	13.9	1.03	13.9	13.7	0.26
Jae Crowder	63	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.33	-6	10	-16	14.4	13.9	0.53	13.2	14.7	-1.56
Pat Connaughton	40	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	14.5	14.0	0.49	14.1	13.5	0.67
Damian Lillard	74	74	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.26	-14	18	-32	14.4	13.7	0.70	13.4	14.5	-1.02
Malik Beasley	32	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	13	-22	13.8	14.4	-0.65	12.8	14.2	-1.34
Brook Lopez	57	57	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.03	-15	19	-34	15.2	13.0	2.15	13.5	14.0	-0.43

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	51	51	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.03	13	-17	30	13.9	13.6	0.36	14.4	14.1	0.33
Mikal Bridges	85	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-11	18	13.6	14.5	-0.90	14.3	13.9	0.40
Lonnie Walker IV	46	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	14.0	13.5	0.50	14.6	13.9	0.70
Dorian Finney-Smith	80	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-11	18	13.4	15.0	-1.58	14.4	13.7	0.63
Day'Ron Sharpe	18	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	3	-10	14.1	13.7	0.45	12.6	14.5	-1.89
Cam Thomas	88	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-7	10	13.7	13.9	-0.23	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Dennis Smith Jr.	24	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.01	-14	10	-24	14.0	13.7	0.34	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Ben Simmons	72	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	8	-20	13.5	14.2	-0.65	14.6	13.4	1.16
Royce O'Neale	56	53	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	8	-20	14.2	13.2	0.99	13.8	14.7	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.41,0.69,0.66,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, MIL 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.42,0	89.9%
WAS 99, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.22,0.28,0	89.1%
BKN 114, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	88.9%