inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 112 Excitement7.7 [326] MVPJaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +16.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 100 Comeback17.1 [118] LVPMalcolm Brogdon (POR): -27.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.090.051864%0.242-0.07667%-0.01
Luke Kennard0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.10.100.030.02979%0.141-0.041100%0.00
Desmond Bane0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.080.060.02-0.012755%0.223-0.141100%0.01
Kenneth Lofton Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01371%0.0400.0010%-0.01
Bismack Biyombo0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.040.00657%0.082-0.052100%0.01
David Roddy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.010,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01956%0.083-0.0900%0.00
Ziaire Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00460%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Jacob Gilyard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Santi Aldama-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.060.02844%-0.052-0.0700%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.080.07-0.01-0.032256%0.142-0.05475%-0.01
Toumani Camara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.04-0.02580%0.163-0.0900%0.00
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02371%0.061-0.001100%0.00
Matisse Thybulle0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.003100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Shaedon Sharpe0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.011555%0.113-0.11333%-0.03
Skylar Mays0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00935%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Jabari Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01926%-0.0500.001100%0.01
Deandre Ayton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.02933%-0.073-0.0600%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.04-0.220.012041%-0.201-0.074100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.71.027.215.431.62.526.5132.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +67.3%
POR -8.4%
MEM +4.4%
POR -14.6%
MEM +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMPORNBAMEMPORNBA
this game14.813.914.5114.397.1113.9
season14.814.8106.3106.9
opponent14.514.3116.2113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM12.915.716.014.614.8
POR13.712.612.018.113.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kennard61650.81-0.311.12-0.0730-184815.014.30.7814.612.71.96
Bismack Biyombo55590.80-0.301.100.2718-62414.315.3-1.0213.414.6-1.21
Marcus Smart64680.67-0.170.830.37102814.116.0-1.8612.915.9-3.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.76790.60-0.100.690.271111015.113.61.4413.714.6-0.92
Desmond Bane72750.57-0.070.650.3484414.116.5-2.3213.914.1-0.25
Kenneth Lofton Jr.21230.030.47-0.45-0.0948-413.015.2-2.2314.713.71.05
David Roddy27280.030.47-0.45-0.1257-213.615.2-1.5515.013.51.43
Santi Aldama3840-0.220.72-0.94-0.10-416-2015.814.11.7813.514.2-0.69
Jacob Gilyard2021-0.260.76-1.03-0.12-517-2217.714.03.7015.313.61.71
Ziaire Williams5657-0.521.01-1.53-0.02-1729-4615.413.91.4514.213.60.61

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Skylar Mays34310.50-1.001.490.239-213015.213.31.8714.514.9-0.44
Jabari Walker34300.37-0.871.240.254-162016.112.93.2314.414.9-0.46
Robert Williams III21200.34-0.841.180.224-162016.313.33.0316.114.41.69
Matisse Thybulle4542-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-121212.515.0-2.5114.814.70.14
Toumani Camara4949-0.25-0.250.01-0.13-4-8414.513.41.1215.014.50.45
Malcolm Brogdon8480-0.690.19-0.88-0.19-175-2213.515.7-2.1615.013.81.20
Shaedon Sharpe8885-0.810.31-1.12-0.34-164-2013.814.5-0.7214.715.4-0.73
Deandre Ayton7874-0.870.37-1.24-0.34-186-2413.415.6-2.2714.316.2-1.87
Jerami Grant8279-0.960.46-1.43-0.32-2210-3213.416.1-2.7914.814.60.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.54,0.37,0.11,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 82, LAC 740.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,089.0%
CLE 104, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.32,0.16,088.6%
DET 85, NJN 800.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,088.6%