NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	123		Excitement	8.4 [220]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +53.7%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	42.3 [64]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -15.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.45	0.14	0.39	0.07	16	67%	0.47	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.09	0.20	0.02	20	59%	0.33	3	-0.06	11	64%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.04	-0.02	12	30%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.13	0.00	19	57%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.17	0.41	0.04	18	68%	0.54	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	9	89%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	16	54%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.10	0.04	17	52%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	10	30%	-0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	26.3	15.4	29.3	1.8	38.4	2.4	13.1	154.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +62.0%

SAS -45.1%

TOR +13.0%

TOR +7.5%

TOR +12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.5	111.8	105.5	113.9
season	14.0	13.9		111.3	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		115.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	13.8	14.6	14.2	13.0	16.1	14.1
SAS	14.4	11.5	15.8	17.7	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	87	87	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-7	21	14.0	14.6	-0.55	14.9	14.2	0.77
OG Anunoby	79	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-1	9	13.9	14.6	-0.68	14.8	14.7	0.16
Pascal Siakam	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	0	7	14.2	14.0	0.19	15.0	14.4	0.65
Dennis Schroder	80	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	6	-5	14.2	14.0	0.13	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Jakob Poeltl	60	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.40	-5	12	-17	14.4	13.8	0.67	15.1	14.5	0.58
Otto Porter Jr.	40	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-2	11	13.9	14.2	-0.28	14.6	14.9	-0.26
Malachi Flynn	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	1	5	14.0	14.2	-0.13	14.9	14.7	0.21
Gradey Dick	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	7	-7	13.4	14.4	-0.95	15.0	14.7	0.25
Jalen McDaniels	12	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	15.7	13.9	1.73	11.1	15.2	-4.15
Gary Trent Jr.	59	60	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.27	-1	8	-9	14.3	13.9	0.42	14.7	14.9	-0.14

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Bassey	19	18	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.01	8	-15	23	17.3	14.3	3.06	12.2	14.5	-2.28
Malaki Branham	50	52	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.15	2	-9	11	14.5	15.0	-0.44	15.4	13.0	2.42
Doug McDermott	54	52	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-7	7	14.0	15.6	-1.57	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Cedi Osman	54	54	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-16	25	14.4	15.1	-0.66	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Julian Champagnie	16	15	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-6	5	12.7	15.1	-2.45	14.4	14.1	0.32
Zach Collins	75	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.4	0.56	14.8	12.6	2.16
Tre Jones	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	0	-7	14.9	14.6	0.25	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Keldon Johnson	78	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	10	-27	14.6	15.1	-0.48	14.7	12.8	1.97
Jeremy Sochan	59	61	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.58	-7	0	-7	15.2	14.3	0.84	14.3	13.9	0.41
Victor Wembanyama	78	78	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.37	-16	9	-25	15.1	13.9	1.19	13.6	15.5	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.54,0.32,0.43,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	92.1%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	91.4%
DET 128, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.63,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.22,0.01,0	91.2%