NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	8.9 [155]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): +51.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	5.0 [303]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -37.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.00	6	142%	0.30	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	16	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cole Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	12	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Franz Wagner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	17	42%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Paolo Banchero	-0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	14	30%	-0.31	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.44,0.51	0.51	0.18	0.36	0.03	14	85%	0.59	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.07
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	18	67%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.12	-0.01	17	50%	0.23	5	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	6	56%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	31.5	14.6	27.2	1.7	35.2	139.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +66.7%

LAL +17.4%

ORL -14.1%

ORL -19.2%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	14.5	104.0	106.0	113.9
season	15.1	14.1		111.8	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.3	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	11.3	15.4	15.9	13.9
LAL	14.0	14.3	14.6	17.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	23	23	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.16	-1	-2	1	14.2	13.8	0.33	15.3	14.9	0.31
Gary Harris	42	44	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-7	11	13.8	14.0	-0.27	15.5	14.7	0.82
Goga Bitadze	4	4	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-8	13	8.2	14.2	-5.91	10.5	15.2	-4.71
Joe Ingles	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	14.4	13.8	0.59	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Cole Anthony	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	6	-15	14.7	13.3	1.33	13.7	16.0	-2.31
Moritz Wagner	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	7	-17	14.5	13.7	0.75	13.4	15.5	-2.11
Jalen Suggs	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.56	10	-13	23	13.1	15.0	-1.90	15.4	14.6	0.81
Wendell Carter Jr.	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-5	7	14.0	13.6	0.42	15.8	13.0	2.81
Markelle Fultz	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-3	3	13.6	14.6	-0.98	15.2	14.6	0.59
Franz Wagner	76	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.57	-2	-1	-1	13.8	14.2	-0.33	14.9	15.3	-0.31
Paolo Banchero	62	61	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	9	-21	14.4	13.1	1.30	15.6	14.2	1.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	52	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-9	21	15.4	14.6	0.72	15.4	12.3	3.13
LeBron James	67	68	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	-2	7	15.0	15.2	-0.20	14.0	13.8	0.12
Anthony Davis	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.61	-2	5	-7	15.4	13.5	1.89	14.1	13.5	0.57
Taurean Prince	54	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.61	-5	8	-13	15.7	14.3	1.41	13.3	14.6	-1.33
Gabe Vincent	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-7	17	13.8	16.3	-2.44	14.6	13.2	1.34
D'Angelo Russell	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-4	11	15.2	14.3	0.96	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Jaxson Hayes	22	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.20	5	-2	7	13.5	15.4	-1.89	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Cam Reddish	33	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	6	-9	14.4	15.3	-0.98	13.0	14.3	-1.37
Austin Reaves	67	64	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.01	-14	17	-31	15.3	14.5	0.75	13.3	15.1	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.33,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1	91.1%
DET 82, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.53,1	91.0%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	90.3%