inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 125 Excitement6.2 [560] MVPDerrick Jones Jr. (DAL): +27.5%
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Comeback2.2 [411] LVPXavier Tillman (MEM): -14.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.200.08-0.001085%0.291-0.01667%-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.120.10-0.021470%0.251-0.012100%0.01
Grant Williams0.090,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.03875%0.111-0.03475%0.01
Luka Doncic0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.030.042265%0.216-0.151070%-0.02
Josh Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.011060%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Maxi Kleber0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.02470%0.072-0.012100%0.00
Dereck Lively II0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaden Hardy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01650%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dante Exum-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Seth Curry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.011-0.0300%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Desmond Bane0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.200.050.031779%0.262-0.03475%-0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.030.022061%0.171-0.01978%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.04-0.011768%0.216-0.1300%0.00
John Konchar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
David Roddy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00850%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Lofton Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacob Gilyard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
GG Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ziaire Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.01850%0.023-0.0700%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01410%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Xavier Tillman0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.021419%-0.1400.0030%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.029.014.730.22.431.6133.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +48.3%
DAL +7.0%
DAL +1.5%
MEM -6.2%
MEM -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMEMNBADALMEMNBA
this game14.313.914.5121.4108.9113.9
season14.314.8115.6106.3
opponent14.314.6113.2113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.212.614.815.814.3
MEM12.315.114.014.213.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Williams66640.470.030.45-0.0518-32114.713.70.9813.914.0-0.11
Tim Hardaway Jr.64650.370.130.230.1969-313.216.1-2.8914.113.60.49
Seth Curry32320.350.150.19-0.061411313.914.5-0.6614.113.80.24
Maxi Kleber47460.330.170.160.1278-114.314.4-0.1014.113.80.30
Derrick Jones Jr.57540.260.240.02-0.09123914.913.61.3814.013.80.25
Luka Doncic86850.240.26-0.010.0769-314.413.80.6113.615.3-1.68
Dwight Powell27260.200.30-0.09-0.09105513.914.5-0.6514.513.70.75
Dante Exum14120.200.30-0.10-0.0078-113.414.5-1.1316.213.62.67
Josh Green72710.130.37-0.240.02411-714.912.92.0413.714.3-0.57
Jaden Hardy2121-0.020.52-0.540.18-722-2913.714.5-0.7713.214.1-0.84
Dereck Lively II2929-0.030.53-0.560.03-217-1914.914.10.7413.114.2-1.07

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Tillman63650.07-0.570.64-0.054-192313.414.8-1.3814.314.4-0.10
Vince Williams Jr.110.00-0.500.500.000-151519.013.85.1519.014.34.72
Kenneth Lofton Jr.110.00-0.500.500.000-151519.013.85.1519.014.34.72
Jacob Gilyard110.00-0.500.500.000-151519.013.85.1519.014.34.72
GG Jackson110.00-0.500.500.000-151519.013.85.1519.014.34.72
Desmond Bane8081-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-151513.415.7-2.2314.613.51.11
Marcus Smart7476-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-141313.614.7-1.1514.414.20.20
John Konchar4042-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-12914.013.80.2513.614.9-1.28
David Roddy6062-0.17-0.330.15-0.12-2-131113.514.5-1.0314.414.20.18
Jake LaRavia1313-0.23-0.270.050.04-9-6-316.513.52.9412.614.6-1.96
Ziaire Williams7171-0.560.05-0.610.06-216-2714.013.80.1914.613.80.75
Derrick Rose3031-0.560.06-0.62-0.03-183-2114.813.51.2813.814.6-0.80
Jaren Jackson Jr.7070-0.740.24-0.98-0.01-2510-3514.313.01.2514.514.00.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.22,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 108, TOR 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,093.4%
POR 101, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,093.1%
MIN 112, SAC 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.07,0,0.04,0,0,093.0%