NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	127		Excitement	11.4 [35]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +38.6%
Sacramento Kings	132		Comeback	2.6 [485]		LVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): -22.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.12	0.02	22	58%	0.23	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Rui Hachimura	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.14	0.00	6	69%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Christian Wood	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.00	3	122%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.12	-0.04	0.14	-0.01	19	61%	0.43	8	-0.32	6	33%	-0.05
D'Angelo Russell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	13	52%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Jaxson Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cam Reddish	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	0.06	-0.16	0.02	17	56%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	12	19%	-0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.18	0.23	0.02	24	66%	0.47	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.07
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.21,0.14,0.31,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.26	-0.01	17	56%	0.40	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Keegan Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.01	14	55%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sasha Vezenkov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Kessler Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.11,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	9	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	28.4	15.4	30.6	2.5	35.3	2.5	12.2	157.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.5%

SAC +12.9%

LAL -12.3%

SAC +16.8%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.6	14.5	111.4	116.8	113.9
season	14.1	14.0		114.4	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.3		113.6	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	13.0	12.0	14.3	14.2	13.5	13.4
SAC	12.2	16.8	14.5	14.6	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabe Vincent	57	57	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.09	9	-14	23	12.8	14.0	-1.25	14.9	14.4	0.43
Jaxson Hayes	17	15	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.21	1	-6	7	10.3	13.9	-3.62	15.5	14.5	0.95
Rui Hachimura	38	38	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.00	8	-13	21	11.1	14.5	-3.37	15.5	14.2	1.33
Christian Wood	29	29	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.14	12	-17	29	13.0	13.5	-0.46	15.4	14.4	0.99
Cam Reddish	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	2	-9	11.5	13.6	-2.13	14.8	14.6	0.19
Austin Reaves	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	7	-19	14.4	12.2	2.16	13.5	15.9	-2.44
LeBron James	84	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-1	-3	13.4	13.3	0.06	15.0	13.6	1.38
D'Angelo Russell	87	85	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.45	-7	2	-9	13.5	13.1	0.35	14.9	13.9	0.95
Anthony Davis	89	90	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.49	-10	5	-15	13.9	11.4	2.58	14.3	16.1	-1.86
Taurean Prince	88	87	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.52	-10	5	-15	14.3	10.2	4.13	14.1	16.5	-2.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	71	72	0.82	-0.33	1.15	0.44	13	-8	21	14.0	15.8	-1.78	14.0	12.3	1.73
Kevin Huerter	79	79	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-6	17	13.6	17.0	-3.33	14.0	12.0	1.99
De'Aaron Fox	70	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-11	27	13.8	16.0	-2.26	14.3	11.6	2.66
JaVale McGee	31	32	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	1	3	18.0	13.4	4.62	12.3	13.8	-1.44
Domantas Sabonis	73	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	0	5	13.5	16.8	-3.30	14.1	11.9	2.25
Harrison Barnes	83	83	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	9	-13	14.1	16.3	-2.21	13.7	12.4	1.32
Chris Duarte	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	4	-3	16.5	14.0	2.52	12.2	13.8	-1.64
Sasha Vezenkov	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	6	-7	16.3	13.8	2.54	11.6	14.3	-2.64
Malik Monk	53	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	5	-5	15.6	13.8	1.80	12.5	14.2	-1.73
Kessler Edwards	1	0	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.12	-2	7	-9	12.0	14.7	-2.67	0.0	13.4	-13.38
Davion Mitchell	36	33	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.04	-18	23	-41	16.0	14.0	1.99	11.4	14.2	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.6,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.55,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 109, NYK 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.98,1,1	89.3%
ATL 94, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.74,1	89.0%
GSW 93, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.98,1	87.9%