NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	8.9 [151]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +15.9%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	2.3 [595]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -19.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.22	-0.02	0.03	21	70%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.16	-0.09	0.02	15	66%	0.12	1	-0.07	8	100%	0.05
Jalen McDaniels	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.14	1	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	24%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
LaMelo Ball	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	15	27%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	11	17%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Terry Rozier	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	14	38%	-0.05	2	-0.15	6	67%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	12	71%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	9	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.01,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	25	57%	0.21	4	-0.10	8	62%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.04	0.01	8	68%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	24.5	15.4	26.5	2.4	32.5	1.6	9.6	141.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +62.8%

NYK +10.0%

CHA -35.0%

NYK +19.4%

CHA -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	16.5	14.4	107.9	120.4	111.3
season	14.2	15.2		109.4	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		107.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	14.9	15.6	14.1	18.1	14.4	15.4
NYK	13.9	16.4	17.2	17.9	19.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	71	69	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.42	2	-11	13	14.7	17.3	-2.59	16.3	17.1	-0.81
Malik Monk	29	27	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.06	8	-17	25	16.6	15.0	1.65	16.4	16.6	-0.22
Jalen McDaniels	65	61	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.13	5	-14	19	16.0	14.4	1.60	16.9	15.9	0.98
Bismack Biyombo	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-9	9	1.0	15.6	-14.59	0.0	16.5	-16.53
Devonte' Graham	77	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.46	9	-18	27	14.9	17.3	-2.42	17.1	14.5	2.62
LaMelo Ball	41	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	12	-33	15.7	15.3	0.44	14.8	17.9	-3.02
Miles Bridges	65	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	-5	1	14.7	16.8	-2.16	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Terry Rozier	90	86	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.29	-17	8	-25	15.0	18.8	-3.78	16.3	18.4	-2.15
P.J. Washington	56	55	-1.06	0.56	-1.61	-0.53	-18	9	-27	17.7	12.6	5.17	17.2	15.7	1.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	60	62	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.61	11	-2	13	17.4	15.2	2.20	15.7	15.1	0.64
Reggie Bullock	73	76	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-5	19	17.0	15.0	2.00	15.5	15.2	0.38
Julius Randle	85	88	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-1	11	16.6	15.8	0.79	15.1	18.1	-3.02
Immanuel Quickley	41	44	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-9	27	17.7	15.7	1.94	16.8	14.4	2.47
Elfrid Payton	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.00	4	5	-1	16.2	16.6	-0.41	16.3	15.2	1.06
Frank Ntilikina	2	0	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	3.5	16.8	-13.30	0.0	15.4	-15.45
Obi Toppin	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	10	-11	15.8	16.6	-0.79	18.1	15.1	3.02
Taj Gibson	38	38	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.16	-2	11	-13	15.2	17.4	-2.20	14.7	15.9	-1.26
RJ Barrett	52	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.14	-3	12	-15	16.0	17.1	-1.13	14.8	16.2	-1.47
Derrick Rose	50	51	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.05	-8	17	-25	15.6	17.5	-1.90	14.4	16.5	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, CHH 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	89.1%
NYK 128, CHA 137	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.9,1,1	87.9%
GSW 93, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.98,1	87.8%