NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	120		Excitement	9.8 [87]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +127.5%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	11.3 [176]		LVP	Josh Green (DAL): -19.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.54	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54	0.21	0.32	-0.01	19	70%	0.54	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Royce O'Neale	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.00	0.18	0.00	9	61%	0.31	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	9	78%	0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.04	-0.02	17	64%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	17	49%	0.03	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.7,0.97,1.27	1.27	0.44	0.84	0.00	25	82%	1.27	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	0.00	4	110%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	17	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	6	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	7	35%	-0.10	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	24.2	15.5	28.9	2.4	35.8	133.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -11.9%

DAL +24.3%

DAL +1.5%

DAL +35.2%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.5	117.6	121.4	113.9
season	14.8	14.3		111.9	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		113.6	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.6	15.0	12.6	14.8	14.2
DAL	14.8	13.8	13.1	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Thomas	72	74	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-8	11	13.5	16.0	-2.57	14.0	13.6	0.41
Lonnie Walker IV	46	46	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.12	8	-13	21	13.7	14.7	-0.99	13.5	14.2	-0.77
Day'Ron Sharpe	8	7	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-10	15	12.2	14.4	-2.13	15.3	13.8	1.50
Dennis Smith Jr.	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	2	-9	14.2	14.2	0.01	12.8	14.1	-1.34
Spencer Dinwiddie	85	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	13.7	16.9	-3.27	14.2	12.5	1.69
Ben Simmons	67	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-5	5	14.2	14.3	-0.15	14.5	12.6	1.98
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	10	-25	15.1	12.5	2.61	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Mikal Bridges	74	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.36	-12	7	-19	15.1	11.9	3.20	14.0	13.5	0.48
Royce O'Neale	74	72	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.49	-11	6	-17	14.5	13.5	0.94	13.2	15.4	-2.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	56	54	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.54	10	-5	15	13.6	14.2	-0.61	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Tim Hardaway Jr.	64	67	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-8	21	13.6	14.4	-0.85	14.3	14.1	0.20
Josh Green	60	60	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-3	11	13.2	14.9	-1.72	13.7	14.9	-1.13
Luka Doncic	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-4	13	13.9	13.8	0.09	14.7	12.9	1.82
Kyrie Irving	72	72	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	12	-19	14.8	11.6	3.20	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Seth Curry	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.37	15.5	13.9	1.55
Derrick Jones Jr.	32	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	4	-3	14.1	13.8	0.35	14.5	14.1	0.36
Dante Exum	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	6	-7	12.8	14.0	-1.21	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Dereck Lively II	36	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	4	-3	14.9	13.4	1.50	14.7	14.0	0.76
Dwight Powell	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	11	-17	14.0	13.9	0.11	14.6	14.1	0.46
Grant Williams	64	62	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	9	-13	13.5	14.4	-0.89	13.9	14.6	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.59,0.42,0.47,0.16,0.23,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	91.4%
BOS 78, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.33,0.95,1	90.6%
DET 82, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.53,1	90.5%