NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	7.3 [396]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +30.4%
Dallas Mavericks	121		Comeback	4.4 [394]		LVP	Grant Williams (DAL): -16.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alperen Sengun	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03	0.07	0.02	0.06	19	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	14	79%	-0.00
Tari Eason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.03	7	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	14	43%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.11	0.03	29	61%	0.30	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.12	0.01	7	88%	0.26	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.01	22	51%	0.22	0	0.00	9	100%	0.07
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	62%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	33.2	14.8	34.6	1.8	42.4	155.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +21.6%

DAL +11.5%

HOU -1.7%

DAL +16.4%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	14.5	118.6	126.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.3		113.2	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.6		113.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	13.8	14.8	13.3	14.5
DAL	14.5	16.9	14.5	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tari Eason	43	42	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-15	24	14.0	14.9	-0.85	15.9	14.9	1.02
Jae'Sean Tate	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-5	4	14.7	14.4	0.28	12.7	16.2	-3.47
Jeff Green	27	26	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-8	10	15.2	14.2	1.01	14.0	15.9	-1.86
Aaron Holiday	47	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	0	-6	13.5	15.4	-1.87	13.4	17.0	-3.63
Jalen Green	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-9	12	13.4	17.0	-3.57	15.9	14.1	1.81
Alperen Sengun	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	14.2	15.2	-1.01	15.9	14.0	1.86
Jabari Smith Jr.	72	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.14	16.2	12.7	3.47
Dillon Brooks	53	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.21	-12	6	-18	16.2	12.5	3.73	15.6	15.0	0.59
Fred VanVleet	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	6	-18	15.1	11.6	3.44	15.5	14.6	0.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	60	60	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-6	18	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.7	14.2	0.54
Derrick Jones Jr.	68	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-7	20	15.1	16.0	-0.86	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Luka Doncic	74	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-6	18	16.0	13.2	2.76	14.7	13.8	0.88
Dereck Lively II	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	8	-10	16.7	13.7	3.00	15.1	13.8	1.28
Kyrie Irving	73	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.48	-9	15	-24	15.4	15.2	0.18	13.7	16.8	-3.11
Richaun Holmes	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	4	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.75	14.7	14.4	0.22
Dante Exum	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	2	2	13.5	16.3	-2.85	13.6	14.9	-1.34
Grant Williams	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	4	-2	15.3	15.4	-0.11	15.6	13.9	1.69
Jaden Hardy	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	16.3	15.3	1.00	17.4	14.2	3.14
Dwight Powell	8	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	7	-8	12.5	15.6	-3.11	10.6	14.8	-4.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	44	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.13	-1	7	-8	14.8	15.8	-0.95	14.6	14.4	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, NOK 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,1	93.6%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	93.6%
POR 104, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	92.9%