inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 112 Excitement5.9 [618] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +14.4%
Golden State Warriors 118 Comeback2.4 [938] LVPZach Collins (SAS): -21.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.070.100.000.031963%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Keldon Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.020.08-0.030.021371%0.073-0.05560%-0.03
Doug McDermott0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01658%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tre Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01570%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Charles Bassey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedi Osman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.010.00-0.000.011150%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Malaki Branham-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00933%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Victor Wembanyama-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.011854%0.066-0.135100%0.02
Jeremy Sochan-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.02750%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Zach Collins-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.16-0.06-0.001223%-0.133-0.082100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.140.140.150.040.052076%0.236-0.086100%0.02
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.001183%0.183-0.062100%0.01
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.02775%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.011152%0.042-0.03786%0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.04-0.00-0.041050%0.043-0.0400%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02642%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00367%0.042-0.05367%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.030.02490%0.052-0.0720%-0.05
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00367%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.0350%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.529.215.729.63.338.6144.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +46.9%
GSW +7.1%
SAS -1.9%
GSW +0.6%
SAS -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game13.813.014.5104.7109.3113.9
season13.914.3108.6116.2
opponent14.414.3114.1115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.313.014.314.413.8
GSW13.313.613.411.813.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Bassey15150.01-0.510.510.010-6612.314.0-1.6714.712.81.90
Keldon Johnson7676-0.10-0.400.29-0.255-111613.813.70.0313.112.80.31
Doug McDermott4242-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-5413.913.70.1914.012.41.67
Victor Wembanyama8383-0.18-0.320.14-0.242-81013.414.9-1.4312.514.7-2.20
Tre Jones3937-0.18-0.320.130.11-104-1413.513.9-0.4412.713.2-0.54
Malaki Branham4342-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-82-1014.513.31.2112.513.3-0.79
Jeremy Sochan7275-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-7813.913.50.3713.112.90.17
Cedi Osman4042-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-3013.114.1-0.9811.913.8-1.92
Zach Collins6566-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.19-71-814.712.32.3614.111.32.85
Devin Vassell6062-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.19-93-1213.414.2-0.8312.613.6-1.01

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Paul67640.61-0.110.720.1416-102612.713.6-0.9813.614.0-0.43
Dario Saric59570.480.020.460.1013-72012.913.1-0.2113.813.8-0.03
Klay Thompson69660.470.030.440.267-1812.314.4-2.1214.013.30.73
Stephen Curry79790.440.060.370.3242212.913.5-0.6213.614.2-0.61
Gary Payton II41400.250.25-0.010.2506-612.413.4-1.0313.114.2-1.06
Jonathan Kuminga44430.110.39-0.290.14-17-814.512.02.4813.513.9-0.39
Brandin Podziemski25240.100.40-0.290.1006-614.512.61.9414.713.51.21
Andrew Wiggins53550.060.44-0.380.09-17-813.612.51.1714.213.30.93
Kevon Looney53550.050.45-0.400.14-39-1212.813.3-0.4613.813.8-0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis13130.030.47-0.430.0015-413.912.91.0212.414.0-1.57
Moses Moody3739-0.100.59-0.690.08-612-1812.813.2-0.4114.113.60.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 96, OKC 1170.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.3%
NJN 89, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,193.1%
CHH 76, UTA 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.0%