inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 96 Excitement5.8 [641] MVPMoritz Wagner (ORL): +25.5%
Orlando Magic 113 Comeback4.6 [154] LVPJaylen Brown (BOS): -15.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Hauser0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.00683%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kornet0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01686%0.121-0.032100%0.01
Jayson Tatum0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.060.020.061658%0.052-0.031392%0.03
Dalano Banton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Stevens0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02947%0.042-0.0510%-0.01
Payton Pritchard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Derrick White-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01953%0.063-0.091275%0.01
Oshae Brissett-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%-0.0400.0020%-0.06
Al Horford-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01530%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jaylen Brown-0.150,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.08-0.052235%-0.113-0.05757%-0.05

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.200.05-0.011377%0.281-0.02989%0.04
Paolo Banchero0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.050.051668%0.153-0.07250%-0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00262%0.0600.00475%-0.00
Goga Bitadze0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Caleb Houstan00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Franz Wagner0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021750%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.01383%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01357%0.022-0.051100%0.01
Jalen Suggs0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.010.06856%0.013-0.09250%-0.01
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.090.00-0.011742%-0.013-0.06450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.41.830.214.828.01.834.3137.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +34.5%
ORL +4.3%
ORL +17.7%
BOS -5.0%
BOS -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game14.014.514.595.0111.9113.9
season14.915.1120.7111.8
opponent14.414.7109.4109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.215.815.811.314.0
ORL14.512.514.816.414.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kristaps Porzingis48470.07-0.570.65-0.106-232915.113.02.0613.915.1-1.16
Dalano Banton120.00-0.500.500.06-2-15137.014.0-7.0512.514.6-2.08
Lamar Stevens120.00-0.500.500.06-2-15137.014.0-7.0512.514.6-2.08
Jaylen Brown8381-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-181913.615.9-2.3914.913.21.66
Luke Kornet5152-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-151313.414.5-1.1115.114.01.12
Derrick White7877-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-11514.312.81.4914.714.00.76
Payton Pritchard2828-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-11513.014.3-1.3114.414.6-0.15
Oshae Brissett1112-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-6-515.413.81.5513.414.7-1.27
Sam Hauser5556-0.29-0.21-0.090.18-16-1-1512.915.2-2.3115.113.91.16
Jayson Tatum8081-0.700.20-0.89-0.08-214-2514.213.01.2414.315.5-1.20
Al Horford6967-0.780.28-1.06-0.02-269-3514.712.52.1714.215.3-1.10

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moritz Wagner51510.53-0.030.560.121431114.814.20.6212.915.1-2.18
Caleb Houstan16180.50-0.000.500.061521316.314.22.1115.113.71.31
Cole Anthony63600.370.130.25-0.131701714.514.6-0.1112.915.5-2.58
Jonathan Isaac35330.370.130.24-0.131701715.014.30.6712.914.5-1.59
Gary Harris43410.220.28-0.06-0.0498113.715.2-1.5414.413.70.73
Joe Ingles43450.220.28-0.060.16215-1314.914.30.6113.614.3-0.69
Franz Wagner74730.170.33-0.16-0.12107314.315.3-1.0414.412.91.55
Paolo Banchero72730.130.37-0.24-0.07710-314.614.50.0714.113.80.27
Goga Bitadze37390.110.39-0.270.11017-1713.914.9-0.9715.812.83.00
Jalen Suggs5959-0.010.51-0.52-0.01017-1714.614.40.2213.914.1-0.20
Anthony Black1213-0.120.62-0.750.05-623-2914.714.50.2416.213.62.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 101, MIN 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,192.6%
PHX 77, DAL 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,192.6%
DET 110, NJN 1180.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,192.6%