NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	9.9 [77]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +39.6%
LA Clippers	106		Comeback	9.7 [215]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -28.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	14	68%	0.26	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	0.00	9	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	12	37%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.29,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	18	53%	0.01	6	-0.24	7	71%	-0.12
Jalen Green	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.01	16	48%	0.00	4	-0.29	10	90%	0.05

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.4	0.40	0.17	0.27	0.05	11	83%	0.45	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.18	-0.00	8	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	22	49%	0.13	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	36%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.15	0.02	16	65%	0.01	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.2	31.4	14.5	32.5	1.7	37.2	146.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.8%

HOU -2.0%

HOU -10.8%

LAC +44.7%

HOU -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	14.5	100.0	106.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.9		113.2	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		114.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	17.1	12.6	13.5	14.4
LAC	13.8	15.0	13.1	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	17	16	0.61	-1.11	1.72	0.17	15	-21	36	11.0	15.1	-4.11	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Aaron Holiday	39	39	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.12	9	-15	24	12.8	15.4	-2.65	13.0	15.3	-2.32
Tari Eason	44	44	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.03	11	-17	28	13.9	14.8	-0.85	13.3	15.2	-1.95
Jeff Green	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-10	14	12.5	15.3	-2.85	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Jabari Smith Jr.	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	14.8	13.7	1.02	15.4	12.4	3.00
Jae'Sean Tate	18	19	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	3	-12	15.2	14.2	0.99	14.1	14.5	-0.35
Jalen Green	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	4	-14	14.8	13.6	1.21	13.8	15.7	-1.82
Fred VanVleet	84	84	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.34	-14	8	-22	14.6	13.6	1.01	15.0	11.2	3.81
Dillon Brooks	60	61	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.39	-16	10	-26	14.9	13.7	1.23	15.1	13.3	1.86
Alperen Sengun	70	69	-1.03	0.53	-1.56	-0.41	-21	15	-36	15.7	11.4	4.25	14.6	13.9	0.75

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	69	70	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.38	21	-15	36	14.4	14.4	0.00	15.1	12.9	2.16
Kawhi Leonard	73	74	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.34	18	-12	30	14.7	13.5	1.19	15.2	12.2	2.94
Ivica Zubac	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	15.8	11.2	4.63	15.4	12.3	3.08
Paul George	85	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-3	12	14.6	13.3	1.24	14.1	15.7	-1.56
Terance Mann	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-9	24	13.4	15.1	-1.75	14.9	14.0	0.93
Norman Powell	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.37	-6	12	-18	14.3	14.6	-0.28	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Daniel Theis	24	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	12	-18	12.5	15.0	-2.43	13.1	14.8	-1.69
Russell Westbrook	40	39	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.05	-9	15	-24	13.1	15.2	-2.11	13.1	15.2	-2.14
P.J. Tucker	34	33	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	0.12	-24	30	-54	14.6	14.3	0.26	13.0	15.1	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.14,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	88.7%
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	88.7%
OKC 96, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.27,1	88.7%