NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	6.7 [476]		MVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): +54.1%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.6 [400]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -21.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.04,0.06,-0.01,0.4	0.06	0.33	-0.01	18	55%	0.50	2	-0.10	2	50%	0.03
Gary Harris	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	10	68%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2	0.15	0.07	0.02	8	90%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Moritz Wagner	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Houstan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	12	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Black	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	-0.00	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Paolo Banchero	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21	-0.17	-0.08	-0.04	14	41%	-0.07	7	-0.15	4	25%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.54	0.54	0.18	0.39	0.03	6	112%	0.56	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.19	0.19	0.21	-0.01	0.02	20	72%	0.34	3	-0.15	7	86%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	20	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	6	31%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.06
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	16	29%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.0	14.8	28.3	2.5	35.5	138.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +5.2%

ORL +19.2%

ORL +23.7%

ORL +2.6%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	14.5	107.3	100.0	113.9
season	15.1	14.5		111.8	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.4		115.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.3	13.6	15.1	17.0	15.8
CHI	16.1	13.5	13.7	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	50	50	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-10	26	16.3	15.3	0.95	14.6	13.4	1.26
Jonathan Isaac	38	38	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-4	14	16.0	15.7	0.25	13.9	14.1	-0.14
Gary Harris	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	1	4	15.6	16.1	-0.47	14.2	13.8	0.39
Paolo Banchero	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	15.5	16.6	-1.18	13.7	14.8	-1.19
Franz Wagner	69	71	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.42	-6	12	-18	16.5	14.1	2.38	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Goga Bitadze	42	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	4	-2	15.5	16.1	-0.57	14.5	13.6	0.90
Anthony Black	24	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	10	-14	14.0	16.4	-2.49	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Caleb Houstan	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	6	-6	12.8	16.3	-3.56	12.4	14.3	-1.87
Moritz Wagner	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	6	-6	16.5	15.2	1.34	14.2	13.9	0.27
Cole Anthony	73	73	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.21	7	-1	8	16.2	14.6	1.65	13.9	14.5	-0.57

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	60	61	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.03	9	-15	24	13.4	15.1	-1.74	16.3	15.0	1.34
Jevon Carter	18	19	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-6	6	14.1	14.0	0.10	17.6	15.4	2.25
Andre Drummond	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-4	2	15.0	13.5	1.47	18.2	14.6	3.64
Patrick Williams	26	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	3	-12	15.0	13.7	1.32	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Alex Caruso	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-13	20	12.8	15.3	-2.50	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Zach LaVine	84	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-8	10	13.5	17.2	-3.61	15.8	15.8	0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	26	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	6	-18	15.8	13.4	2.43	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Nikola Vucevic	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	13.5	15.0	-1.47	14.6	18.2	-3.64
DeMar DeRozan	74	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	0	-6	14.4	13.0	1.35	15.2	17.7	-2.41
Torrey Craig	51	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	9	-24	14.9	13.1	1.84	16.6	14.9	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.17,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.37,0.06,0.05,0	93.0%
GSW 116, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.28,0.24,0.27,0	92.6%
MIN 112, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.08,0.01,0.03,0	92.3%