NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	127		Excitement	7.9 [292]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +29.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	121		Comeback	1.7 [310]		LVP	David Roddy (MEM): -15.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.12	-0.01	13	81%	0.41	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.03	7	81%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	6	95%	0.18	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	16	68%	0.21	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.07
Ochai Agbaji	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.04	0.01	8	94%	0.15	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Keyonte George	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	27%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.10	-0.05	28	63%	0.34	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	11	64%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	10	58%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.00	6	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Gilyard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.14	0.00	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	9	39%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	31.7	15.4	31.7	2.3	31.6	141.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.7%

UTA +27.5%

UTA +6.5%

MEM -18.9%

MEM -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.5	125.7	119.8	113.9
season	14.7	14.8		113.7	106.3
opponent	14.3	13.9		113.2	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	13.4	16.0	13.8	14.4
MEM	13.1	14.8	13.4	15.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-2	10	14.5	14.4	0.07	14.4	13.0	1.37
Jordan Clarkson	72	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-8	22	14.5	14.2	0.33	14.4	13.1	1.28
Ochai Agbaji	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	14.7	14.0	0.75	14.9	12.9	1.98
Keyonte George	58	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	5	-4	14.7	14.2	0.49	14.9	12.9	2.01
Lauri Markkanen	79	78	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	7	-8	14.2	15.3	-1.06	14.4	13.0	1.38
Talen Horton-Tucker	43	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	1	4	14.2	14.7	-0.49	12.9	14.9	-2.01
Collin Sexton	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	3	0	14.0	14.7	-0.75	12.9	14.9	-1.98
Kelly Olynyk	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	1	4	14.8	14.1	0.68	13.0	14.9	-1.93
Simone Fontecchio	29	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	14	-22	14.2	14.5	-0.33	13.1	14.4	-1.28

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	25	24	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-17	28	11.8	14.8	-2.96	16.2	13.9	2.37
Marcus Smart	53	51	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.05	10	-16	26	14.3	13.8	0.45	14.8	14.1	0.68
Santi Aldama	31	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-8	10	12.7	14.7	-2.01	13.4	14.9	-1.45
John Konchar	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	1	-8	15.2	13.1	2.03	13.0	15.7	-2.73
David Roddy	39	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	0	-6	13.4	14.5	-1.16	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Desmond Bane	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-7	8	14.3	13.4	0.84	14.5	14.1	0.40
Jaren Jackson Jr.	47	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	5	-16	14.3	13.8	0.51	15.2	13.7	1.51
Bismack Biyombo	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	14.8	12.4	2.43	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Luke Kennard	47	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	7	-20	13.6	14.5	-0.85	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Jacob Gilyard	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	6	-18	14.1	13.9	0.24	15.0	13.2	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, NOP 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	91.1%
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	91.0%
TOR 115, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.09,0.02,0	90.9%