NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	124		Excitement	9.0 [144]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): +34.8%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	10.9 [110]		LVP	Mark Williams (CHA): -14.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.27,0.35,0.35	0.12	0.24	0.01	20	56%	0.35	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.08	0.19	-0.02	19	60%	0.35	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Nick Richards	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Bryce McGowens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Brandon Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	16	35%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Theo Maledon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	15	34%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.12	0.04	21	48%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.11	0.00	6	107%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	10	52%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	83%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	14	48%	0.12	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.03	12	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	44%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.00	7	59%	0.03	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	17	49%	-0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	28.2	15.3	29.2	2.6	35.5	134.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -9.0%

WAS -8.3%

CHA +54.3%

CHA +14.2%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.0	14.3	14.5	120.4	115.8	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		108.3	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.5		118.7	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	14.5	13.5	12.9	14.0
WAS	14.5	13.2	12.2	17.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Williams	62	62	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.33	19	-12	31	15.0	12.4	2.65	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Gordon Hayward	75	75	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.27	16	-9	25	14.5	12.4	2.10	14.5	13.7	0.84
Brandon Miller	67	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	4	-1	14.6	12.7	1.90	14.0	14.9	-0.93
P.J. Washington	84	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	8	-9	13.4	16.4	-2.95	14.2	14.7	-0.53
LaMelo Ball	80	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	7	-7	13.5	15.5	-2.01	14.8	12.5	2.27
JT Thor	40	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.32	17	-10	27	14.9	13.4	1.53	15.0	13.7	1.30
Theo Maledon	36	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	6	-5	14.2	13.9	0.32	12.6	15.1	-2.46
Bryce McGowens	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	15	-23	12.3	14.7	-2.39	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Nick Richards	41	39	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.03	-12	19	-31	12.4	15.0	-2.65	14.3	14.3	0.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	31	32	0.62	-1.12	1.73	-0.03	22	-29	51	12.8	14.9	-2.08	13.7	14.1	-0.44
Bilal Coulibaly	43	44	0.43	-0.93	1.35	-0.01	15	-22	37	14.4	14.2	0.17	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Danilo Gallinari	39	41	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.02	9	-16	25	13.3	14.9	-1.62	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Landry Shamet	36	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-4	1	14.3	14.3	0.04	13.9	14.0	-0.02
Corey Kispert	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.2	0.09	12.6	14.7	-2.08
Deni Avdija	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.53	9	-16	25	14.5	13.8	0.73	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Jordan Poole	64	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	10	-27	13.9	14.9	-0.97	14.9	12.3	2.61
Daniel Gafford	62	62	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	9	-25	14.9	13.3	1.62	14.3	13.5	0.79
Kyle Kuzma	59	60	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.33	-19	12	-31	14.3	14.3	-0.06	14.9	12.6	2.37
Tyus Jones	70	71	-1.12	0.62	-1.73	-0.26	-29	22	-51	14.9	12.8	2.08	14.1	13.7	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.67,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	91.2%
LAL 90, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	90.8%
PHX 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.38,0.15,0.14,0.09,0	90.7%