inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Excitement3.5 [1166] MVPGary Trent Jr. (TOR): +16.0%
Toronto Raptors 121 Comeback1.2 [968] LVPWesley Matthews (MIL): -5.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Meyers Leonard0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.00-0.01491%0.091-0.003100%0.01
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02858%0.0400.00875%0.02
Jae Crowder0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.031254%0.0200.0000%0.00
MarJon Beauchamp0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.031050%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Lindell Wigginton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.02877%0.055-0.04683%0.01
Bobby Portis0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.031457%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Jevon Carter-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00650%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.010.061258%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joe Ingles-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00521%-0.0600.00475%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.19-0.000.031374%0.1600.005100%0.02
Malachi Flynn0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.011462%0.112-0.024100%0.01
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00583%0.082-0.022100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.03967%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dalano Banton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.050.03-0.081242%0.092-0.04250%-0.01
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011164%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Ron Harper Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07677%0.0200.001100%0.00
Christian Koloko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.04470%0.0100.00250%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01944%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joe Wieskamp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.0860%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.325.014.724.52.425.6115.7
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +38.8%
TOR +1.5%
TOR +5.4%
TOR +4.6%
MIL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game15.213.114.4102.9119.8113.4
season14.014.7113.8114.0
opponent14.514.2112.2111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.915.017.014.015.2
TOR13.312.711.315.413.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
MarJon Beauchamp6161-0.05-0.450.41-0.226-222815.015.6-0.5914.211.52.74
Thanasis Antetokounmpo5757-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-141214.815.8-0.9313.712.41.23
Jae Crowder5453-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-8015.415.00.4413.412.80.56
Goran Dragic4344-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-141215.015.4-0.4112.613.5-0.95
Wesley Matthews4846-0.23-0.270.050.10-11-5-614.815.6-0.8812.913.3-0.36
Jevon Carter4444-0.24-0.260.02-0.00-8-8015.215.20.0312.913.3-0.47
Lindell Wigginton5756-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-10-6-415.215.3-0.0613.313.00.31
Meyers Leonard6664-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-6-415.614.60.9213.113.2-0.18
Bobby Portis3940-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-2-1215.515.10.3712.613.5-0.88
Joe Ingles4140-0.47-0.03-0.430.15-215-2616.014.81.2011.913.9-2.03

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Trent Jr.58590.370.130.25-0.041421212.214.3-2.1216.014.21.85
Malachi Flynn76780.320.180.14-0.00115612.814.2-1.4215.514.31.23
Christian Koloko53520.310.190.120.02106412.813.5-0.7115.115.3-0.21
Precious Achiuwa60610.280.220.070.0297213.013.4-0.4015.714.51.17
Scottie Barnes47470.260.240.010.0288012.213.9-1.7116.114.51.54
Chris Boucher41430.230.27-0.04-0.0397212.513.5-1.0415.215.3-0.13
Ron Harper Jr.46460.210.29-0.080.03610-414.412.12.3614.216.1-1.89
Dalano Banton40410.190.31-0.12-0.0179-214.712.12.6013.816.2-2.47
Jakob Poeltl24230.140.36-0.210.03412-813.113.1-0.0615.715.10.54
Will Barton29290.140.36-0.230.05313-1013.612.90.6414.815.4-0.57
Joe Wieskamp31310.050.45-0.400.08-117-1814.512.51.9114.715.5-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 86, CHA 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
WAS 87, PHI 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
DAL 91, GSW 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%