NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	9.0 [183]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +42.5%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	4.1 [422]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): -15.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.27,0.43,0.43	0.09	0.33	-0.01	15	61%	0.45	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.08
Mike Conley	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.01	9	82%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Anthony Edwards	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	18	53%	0.20	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Jaden McDaniels	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	13	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	41%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Rudy Gobert	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.02	8	63%	0.06	2	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.35,0.49,0.42	0.42	0.17	0.24	-0.01	24	60%	0.42	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.09
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	4	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.06	0.02	9	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	24	44%	-0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	23.5	14.7	21.4	2.5	33.3	124.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +20.5%

MIN +24.5%

MIN +12.3%

BKN -8.4%

MIN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BKN	NBA	MIN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	14.4	113.8	107.4	113.4
season	14.1	14.4		112.4	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.3		113.0	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	15.1	14.3	15.3	14.9
BKN	15.0	13.7	17.0	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	61	64	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-6	17	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.8	15.0	0.88
Anthony Edwards	60	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-8	21	15.3	14.2	1.06	15.7	15.2	0.52
Karl-Anthony Towns	62	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	14.6	15.5	-0.93	15.7	15.2	0.50
Mike Conley	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	3	-1	15.8	13.0	2.81	15.6	15.5	0.16
Taurean Prince	48	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-3	11	13.1	16.8	-3.70	14.6	16.6	-2.01
Jaden McDaniels	80	80	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.45	-11	16	-27	15.4	12.2	3.17	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	2	1	13.0	15.8	-2.81	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Rudy Gobert	65	66	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	10	-15	15.8	12.9	2.92	15.7	15.3	0.41

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Thomas	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	14.7	15.7	-0.94	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Day'Ron Sharpe	4	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	18.2	15.4	2.81	19.7	14.7	5.05
Nic Claxton	63	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	1	-7	15.1	16.5	-1.37	15.3	14.0	1.34
Cameron Johnson	69	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-12	19	15.3	16.3	-1.09	15.0	14.8	0.15
Seth Curry	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	3	-11	15.1	15.6	-0.47	9.7	15.4	-5.65
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-7	9	15.6	15.4	0.16	15.1	14.6	0.49
Spencer Dinwiddie	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	15.9	14.0	1.95	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Joe Harris	31	30	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	6	-17	16.2	15.2	0.94	13.7	15.5	-1.74
Royce O'Neale	70	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	15.5	15.8	-0.27	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Mikal Bridges	77	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.5	12.8	2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.61,0.28,0.33,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.22,0.28,0	91.5%
PHI 92, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.02,0	90.9%
DET 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.58,0	90.6%