NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	10.2 [71]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +98.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Comeback	18.8 [100]		LVP	Josh Giddey (OKC): -49.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.36	0.04	0.31	-0.02	10	65%	0.51	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	8	78%	0.20	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.06
Jalen Duren	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	83%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Marvin Bagley III	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.01	5	73%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
R.J. Hampton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
James Wiseman	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	78%	0.11	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.01	18	62%	0.18	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Killian Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	14	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.98	0.98	0.09	0.92	0.02	19	64%	1.19	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.03
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.19	-0.02	15	57%	0.32	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	11	86%	0.23	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olivier Sarr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	41%	-0.03	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.5	-0.50	-0.03	-0.46	0.01	19	40%	-0.50	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	24.5	14.5	28.7	0.7	38.8	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -18.1%

OKC +23.1%

OKC +8.0%

OKC +30.2%

OKC +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	OKC	NBA	DET	OKC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	14.4	112.8	112.6	113.4
season	14.6	13.7		109.6	113.5
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.8	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	16.0	17.3	15.8	16.3
OKC	13.0	14.6	14.8	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	35	36	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.21	10	-11	21	16.5	16.2	0.22	15.5	13.4	2.14
Marvin Bagley III	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	16.1	16.6	-0.47	13.2	15.1	-1.85
R.J. Hampton	46	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.42	11	-12	23	16.6	16.0	0.61	15.0	13.4	1.61
Cory Joseph	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-10	19	16.4	16.2	0.24	15.3	11.9	3.46
Jaden Ivey	60	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	6	-13	16.5	16.1	0.41	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Killian Hayes	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	4	-9	16.4	16.1	0.27	13.3	15.9	-2.62
Eugene Omoruyi	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-1	1	16.5	16.1	0.32	15.6	12.4	3.20
Isaiah Livers	44	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	10	-21	15.6	16.9	-1.28	12.5	15.6	-3.11
James Wiseman	59	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	10	-21	16.2	16.5	-0.22	13.4	15.5	-2.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	61	59	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.87	2	-1	3	15.1	12.5	2.64	16.7	15.7	1.05
Josh Giddey	70	68	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.52	11	-10	21	13.5	16.0	-2.49	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Luguentz Dort	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-8	17	13.6	16.6	-3.08	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Jalen Williams	75	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.44	-4	5	-9	14.2	14.0	0.21	15.9	17.6	-1.67
Isaiah Joe	67	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	7	-13	13.6	15.5	-1.94	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Olivier Sarr	14	15	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	1	-1	15.1	14.0	1.14	17.5	16.1	1.37
Aleksej Pokusevski	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	0	1	17.0	14.0	3.02	16.5	16.3	0.19
Ousmane Dieng	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	0	1	16.7	13.7	2.97	16.8	16.2	0.55
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	8	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	7	-13	17.2	13.9	3.36	16.5	16.3	0.20
Jaylin Williams	76	74	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.27	1	0	1	14.0	14.9	-0.97	16.4	16.0	0.41
Tre Mann	17	18	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.07	-7	8	-15	15.6	13.8	1.80	16.5	16.3	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.81,0.75,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.52,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.45,0.9,0.91,1	92.3%
OKC 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.9,0.73,1	92.0%
WAS 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.73,1	91.6%