NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	78		Excitement	8.2 [218]		MVP	Francisco Elson (UTA): +1.6%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	2.2 [422]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -24.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	13	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	2	-0.15	6	67%	-0.03
Deron Williams	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	18	53%	-0.01	8	-0.24	7	57%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	35%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.22,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.06	0.04	17	51%	0.13	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	22	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.05
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	15	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.12
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	13	27%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	30.5	14.7	29.4	2.5	36.0	137.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +24.4%

UTA -18.7%

GSW +17.1%

GSW +23.1%

GSW +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.5	83.0	89.5	105.7
season	15.9	14.8		106.4	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	14.0	17.0	15.3	15.4
GSW	14.8	16.7	13.0	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	28	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-15	23	15.6	15.3	0.37	16.2	14.6	1.60
Earl Watson	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-10	13	14.9	15.5	-0.55	17.0	14.6	2.41
CJ Miles	41	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-11	15	15.0	15.7	-0.72	15.7	14.6	1.14
Gordon Hayward	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	13.4	15.6	-2.19	16.9	14.9	1.94
Ronnie Price	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	16.2	14.9	1.30	16.6	14.1	2.46
Paul Millsap	78	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-6	5	15.2	16.3	-1.12	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Raja Bell	56	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	14.9	16.2	-1.30	14.1	16.6	-2.46
Andrei Kirilenko	56	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	6	-19	15.9	14.6	1.31	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Deron Williams	75	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	3	-13	15.5	14.9	0.55	14.6	17.0	-2.41
Al Jefferson	71	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.21	-16	9	-25	15.5	14.9	0.62	14.7	16.3	-1.60

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	78	79	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-2	11	14.7	16.8	-2.11	15.3	15.7	-0.34
David Lee	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	1	5	14.9	17.1	-2.24	15.3	15.7	-0.35
Dorell Wright	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-1	9	14.4	17.6	-3.24	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Stephen Curry	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	-1	9	14.8	15.6	-0.79	15.9	14.1	1.77
Andris Biedrins	73	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-1	9	14.7	16.3	-1.53	14.8	17.1	-2.26
Reggie Williams	29	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	1	5	15.7	14.8	0.86	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	21	21	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	8	-9	17.0	14.6	2.45	18.0	14.6	3.37
Vladimir Radmanovic	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	17.1	14.9	2.24	15.7	15.3	0.35
Rodney Carney	30	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	13	-19	16.7	14.3	2.39	14.2	16.0	-1.73
Charlie Bell	10	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	11	-15	16.9	14.9	2.02	15.7	15.3	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.45,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.95,1	92.2%
UTA 90, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.69,0.63,0.91,1,1	92.1%
CHI 103, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	91.9%