NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	109		Excitement	6.7 [568]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +26.2%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	13.7 [377]		LVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): -10.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.07	-0.00	9	91%	0.28	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Herbert Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	59%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	22	51%	0.11	6	-0.15	7	100%	0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	17	44%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.16	-0.01	15	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.13	0.02	5	100%	0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.03	0.03	25	72%	0.31	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	16	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.8	37.2	16.7	34.4	2.7	35.0	156.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +52.6%

NOP -4.1%

GSW +9.3%

NOP -7.2%

NOP -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	13.4	14.4	110.1	120.0	113.4
season	14.2	13.9		113.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.6		112.6	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.5	16.1	15.6	17.3	15.5
GSW	13.1	13.3	12.1	15.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	23	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.16	9	-20	29	13.5	16.1	-2.62	13.2	13.5	-0.25
Larry Nance Jr.	50	51	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-18	25	15.1	15.9	-0.80	13.5	13.3	0.26
Josh Richardson	40	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-18	25	15.7	15.4	0.23	13.9	13.1	0.81
Brandon Ingram	81	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-2	-7	15.1	17.6	-2.47	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Naji Marshall	25	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-9	7	17.0	15.0	1.96	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Herbert Jones	76	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	0	-11	15.1	17.1	-2.08	13.4	13.4	0.05
Jonas Valanciunas	48	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	7	-25	15.8	15.3	0.54	12.8	13.9	-1.11
CJ McCollum	76	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	9	-29	16.1	13.5	2.62	13.5	13.2	0.25
Trey Murphy III	76	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	7	-25	16.0	13.9	2.11	13.5	13.1	0.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.07	26	-15	41	13.1	14.0	-0.82	16.5	13.5	2.96
Jonathan Kuminga	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-6	23	13.6	13.1	0.45	16.7	13.4	3.33
Jordan Poole	58	59	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-5	21	14.3	12.2	2.08	16.1	14.6	1.49
Stephen Curry	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-1	13	13.2	14.1	-0.87	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Anthony Lamb	35	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	3	5	12.9	13.7	-0.87	17.1	14.7	2.49
Klay Thompson	71	70	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	2	7	13.7	12.8	0.83	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Donte DiVincenzo	51	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	16	-21	13.0	13.8	-0.78	14.4	16.6	-2.23
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	12.0	13.5	-1.46	9.5	15.7	-6.16
Moses Moody	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	18	-25	13.1	13.4	-0.30	12.0	15.8	-3.76
Kevon Looney	47	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	14	-17	13.7	13.2	0.49	14.2	16.7	-2.54
Gary Payton II	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.26	-14	25	-39	12.9	13.6	-0.71	12.2	16.4	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 119, MIL 132	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.88,1,1,1	92.6%
SAC 101, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.5%
PHI 95, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.1%