NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	137		Excitement	10.2 [74]		MVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): +54.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	134		Comeback	5.2 [96]		LVP	Theo Maledon (CHA): -18.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.55	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.55	0.33	0.22	0.01	24	78%	0.59	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Nick Richards	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24	0.05	0.19	-0.00	9	64%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Kai Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	92%	0.15	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	13	56%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
JT Thor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Bryce McGowens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
James Bouknight	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Maledon	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.15	0.02	15	56%	-0.03	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.25	0.09	-0.01	18	77%	0.37	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.05
Jalen Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.43,0.35	0.35	0.22	0.14	0.00	16	76%	0.40	1	-0.05	9	89%	-0.08
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.08	0.01	22	65%	0.09	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.17
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	31.5	14.7	26.3	2.5	40.4	140.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +10.9%

CHA +11.7%

CHA +48.7%

OKC -19.6%

OKC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	OKC	NBA	CHA	OKC	NBA
this game	13.1	13.0	14.4	124.5	120.7	113.4
season	14.0	13.7		107.8	113.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.8	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	11.5	12.9	13.4	14.6	13.1
OKC	14.2	11.9	13.8	12.1	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Maledon	88	87	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-10	23	13.2	12.6	0.60	13.3	11.7	1.64
Kai Jones	52	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-14	31	12.4	13.7	-1.27	12.7	13.2	-0.56
P.J. Washington	87	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-4	11	13.1	13.1	-0.07	12.7	14.0	-1.29
Svi Mykhailiuk	82	86	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-4	11	13.2	12.6	0.67	13.0	12.9	0.14
JT Thor	85	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	13.0	13.2	-0.11	12.4	15.0	-2.67
Nick Richards	58	60	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.27	-14	17	-31	13.7	12.4	1.27	13.2	12.7	0.56
James Bouknight	43	45	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	11	-19	13.1	13.1	0.03	12.9	13.0	-0.13
Bryce McGowens	55	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	13	-23	12.7	13.5	-0.80	13.9	12.2	1.71

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Wiggins	29	29	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.00	5	-8	13	12.6	13.1	-0.59	12.4	13.3	-0.89
Ousmane Dieng	29	30	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	12.6	13.1	-0.59	12.6	13.3	-0.70
Jaylin Williams	44	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	13.7	12.5	1.22	12.9	13.2	-0.31
Isaiah Joe	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-9	15	12.9	13.2	-0.30	13.4	12.5	0.92
Luguentz Dort	76	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-8	13	13.0	13.0	-0.01	13.3	12.6	0.69
Jalen Williams	76	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-12	21	13.0	13.0	-0.01	13.3	12.5	0.83
Josh Giddey	79	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-3	3	13.0	13.0	-0.01	13.1	13.1	0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski	23	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	13.3	12.9	0.45	13.5	13.0	0.59
Dario Saric	7	7	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	7	-17	13.9	12.9	0.92	12.7	13.1	-0.38
Tre Mann	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	9	-21	12.8	13.1	-0.30	12.6	13.3	-0.74
Jared Butler	17	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	10	-23	14.6	12.7	1.96	11.1	13.5	-2.41
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	60	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	12.4	13.6	-1.21	13.6	12.4	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.38,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.43,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.53,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.58,0	89.7%
LAL 106, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.74,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.27,0	89.5%
POR 95, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.58,0	89.1%